摩洛哥的青年排斥:背景、后果和政策

Brahim Boudarbat, A. Ajbilou
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引用次数: 25

摘要

目前,摩洛哥人口的年龄结构特点是15-24岁的青年占主导地位。年轻人在人口中的比例从1971年的17%增长到2004年的21%多一点。这种“青年膨胀”被认为是失业的主要原因之一,因为求职者数量的增长速度远远快于经济能够创造的就业机会数量。鉴于当前的经济背景,这种观点似乎是合理的,但年轻人的激增自然应该被视为一种“人口礼物”。通过建立青年工人的人力资本并为他们提供使用技能的机会,摩洛哥可以提高人均收入,增加储蓄并改善社会福利。但不幸的是,今天的年轻人面临着严重的经济和社会排斥,阻碍了他们向成年的过渡。青年被排斥是由许多因素决定的,包括文盲和失业。此外,排斥不仅是一种条件,而且是一个将某些人边缘化的过程。这一过程因环境而异(如城市与农村),并在不断发展。在本文中,我们将概述青年队列及其期望,并将重点放在青年排斥的经济层面。然而,在理解经济排斥的后果时,我们也将分析扩展到各个社会和政治层面。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Youth Exclusion in Morocco: Context, Consequences, and Policies
Currently, the age structure of the Moroccan population is characterized by the predominance of youth aged 15-24. The share of youth in the population grew from about 17 percent in 1971 to a little over 21 percent in 2004. This "youth bulge" is regarded as one of the main causes of unemployment because the number of jobseekers is increasing much faster than the number of jobs that the economy can create. While this argument may seem legitimate in light of the current economic context, a youth bulge should naturally be considered a "demographic gift." By building the human capital of young workers and providing them with opportunities to use their skills, Morocco can increase incomes per capita, bolster savings and improve social welfare. But unfortunately, today's youth face severe economic and social exclusion hampering their transitions to adulthood. Youth exclusion is determined by many factors including illiteracy and unemployment. But moreover, exclusion is not just a condition but rather a process which marginalizes certain individuals. This process varies with context (e.g. urban versus rural) and is constantly evolving. In this paper we will outline how youth cohort and their expectations and focus on the economic dimensions of youth exclusion. In understanding the consequences of economic exclusion, however, we also extend our analysis to look at various social and political dimensions.
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