使用深度学习技术进行天气预报

A. G. Salman, Bayu Kanigoro, Y. Heryadi
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引用次数: 130

摘要

由于天气预报对全球人类生活的影响,它受到了各个研究领域的广泛关注。近十年来兴起的深度学习技术,加上大量天气观测数据的广泛可用性以及信息和计算机技术的出现,促使许多研究探索大量天气数据集中隐藏的分层模式,用于天气预报。本研究探讨了用于天气预报的深度学习技术。特别地,本研究将比较递归神经网络(RNN)、条件受限玻尔兹曼机(CRBM)和卷积网络(CN)模型的预测性能。这些模型使用印度尼西亚气象、气候和地球物理局(BMKG)提供的1973 - 2009年在亚齐地区多个气象站收集的天气数据集和国家环境预测气候气象服务中心(NOAA)等国际机构提供的厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)数据集进行了测试。采用Frobenius范数对各模型的预测精度进行了评价。研究结果将为气象预报在航空导航、农业、旅游等领域的广泛应用做出贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Weather forecasting using deep learning techniques
Weather forecasting has gained attention many researchers from various research communities due to its effect to the global human life. The emerging deep learning techniques in the last decade coupled with the wide availability of massive weather observation data and the advent of information and computer technology have motivated many researches to explore hidden hierarchical pattern in the large volume of weather dataset for weather forecasting. This study investigates deep learning techniques for weather forecasting. In particular, this study will compare prediction performance of Recurrence Neural Network (RNN), Conditional Restricted Boltzmann Machine (CRBM), and Convolutional Network (CN) models. Those models are tested using weather dataset provided by BMKG (Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics) which are collected from a number of weather stations in Aceh area from 1973 to 2009 and El-Nino Southern Oscilation (ENSO) data set provided by International Institution such as National Weather Service Center for Environmental Prediction Climate (NOAA). Forecasting accuracy of each model is evaluated using Frobenius norm. The result of this study expected to contribute to weather forecasting for wide application domains including flight navigation to agriculture and tourism.
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