基于Prophet算法的校园浴室预测系统的设计与实现

Luhua Zhang, Yuhang Liu, Lei Wang, Wenping Zhang, Xiaoning He, Siyi Guo, Lingshan Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

时间序列模型是在时间维度上预测数据序列的一种重要方法,在金融、经济、气候等诸多领域得到了广泛的应用。然而,传统的时间序列预测方法往往过于复杂,效果有限。为了有效预测校园卫生间的人流量,优化公共资源和管理模式,本文基于Facebook开源的Prophet时间序列预测模型,开发了一个校园卫生间预测系统,该系统由增长趋势模型、季节趋势模型和节假日模型组成。它能准确拟合非线性周期性趋势,以更简单、更灵活的方式预测校园浴室流量,大大提高了传统模型的可用性和准确性。此外,本文还从系统开发的角度对校园浴室预测的系统功能、数据库建设和交互页面进行了设计和阐述。实验表明,基于Prophet算法的校园浴室预测方法具有简单、灵活、精度高、实用性好等优点,能够科学地提高浴室设备的利用率,优化学生体验。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Design and Implementation of Campus Bathroom Prediction System Based on Prophet Algorithm
Time series model is an important method for forecasting data series in the time dimension, which is widely used in many fields such as finance, economy, climate, etc. However, traditional time series forecasting methods are often too complicated and have limited effects. In order to effectively predict the flow of people in campus bathrooms and optimize public resources and management models, this paper develops a campus bathroom prediction system based on Facebook's open-source Prophet time series prediction model, and it's composed of growth trend model, seasonal trend model and holiday model. It can accurately fit the non-linear periodic trend and forecast the campus bathroom flow in a simpler and more flexible way, which greatly improves the availability and accuracy of the traditional model. In addition, this paper designs and elaborates on the system functions, database construction and interactive pages of campus bathroom prediction from the perspective of system development. Experiments show that the campus bathroom prediction method based on the Prophet algorithm has the advantages of simplicity, flexibility, high accuracy and good practicability, which can scientifically improve the utilization of bathroom equipment and optimize student experience.
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