渐进式海底油田建设有利于项目的净现值

P. d'Huart, V. Cocault-Duverger
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在“长期低油价”的环境下,新项目和油田开发需要具有成本效益的改进方法;其中,“渐进式海底油田建设”的概念。在这一替代概念中,对第一次开采并不重要,但仅用于支持资产完整性的要素(通常是海底管道基础和加固结构)的建设推迟到设施的使用寿命,从而有利于项目的现金流和净现值。这一原则为油田设计师所熟知,他们努力确保早期生产产生的现金用于后续开发——“边钻边生产”就是这种方法的典型例子。在本文所传达的愿景中,部分结构建设可以作为连续(分阶段)服务而不是初始投资来交付。本文分析了西非深水管道的两个真实案例,代表了过去15年来最先进技术的发展。然后,将这些实际案例与一种新方法进行对比,以证明在阶段施工和完整性管理中持续服务的好处。本文提供的结果表明,通过设置监测程序、监测设备(如常驻海底检查车)和数据管理系统,可以使项目的经济效益最小增加2%的管道系统净现值,从而允许持续施工。本文还证明,随着资产寿命的延长,经济效益进一步放大,在这种情况下,同一系统的净现值增加5%。由于案例研究的重点是管道锚定,因此本文还试图说明该概念可以更广泛地应用于整个油田开发。事实上,本文提出的新方法为承包商和运营商之间的全新合作模式打开了大门,在油田的整个生命周期内建立了施工的连续性。它旨在引发讨论和新的思维方式,以帮助该行业朝着更低的开发成本和更可持续的合同模式发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Progressive Subsea Field Construction Benefits Projects Net Present Value
In the "lower for longer" barrel price environment, new projects and field developments need cost effective improved approaches; amongst them, the concept of "Progressive Subsea Field Construction". In this alternative concept, construction of elements that are not critical to first oil but only here to support the assets integrity - typically subsea pipelines foundations and consolidating structures - is deferred to the operational life of the facilities, thus benefiting the cash-flow and net present value of a project. This principle is well known to field architects that strive at ensuring that the cash generated from early production is used to finance the rest of the development - "Production while drilling" is a typical example of such approach. In the vision conveyed in this paper, part of the structural construction can be delivered as a continuous (staged) service rather than an initial investment. The paper analyzes two real cases of pipelines in deep-water West Africa, representing the evolution of the state of the art over the past 15 years. It then benchmarks these real cases against a novel approach, to demonstrate the benefits of continuous service in staged construction and integrity management. Results provided in this paper demonstrate that there is benefit to the economics of a project, a minimal increase of 2% of a pipeline system Net Present Value, in setting a monitoring procedure, a monitoring device (like a resident subsea inspection vehicle) and data management system to allow for continuous construction. The paper also demonstrates that economic benefit is furthermore amplified when time comes to extend the life of the asset, in such case the Net Present Value of the same system increases by 5%. Since the case study focuses on pipeline anchoring, the paper also attempts at showing this concept could be used more extensively in full field developments. Indeed, the novel approach proposed in this paper opens the door to a completely novel collaboration model between contractors and operators, establishing continuity of construction during the full life cycle of a field. It aims at generating discussions and new ways of thinking to help the industry evolve towards lower costs of development and more sustainable contracting models.
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