{"title":"精算风险分析中广义线性模型参数的估计","authors":"Roman Panibratov, P. Bidyuk","doi":"10.20535/srit.2308-8893.2023.2.10","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Methods of estimating the parameters of generalized linear models for the case of paying insurance premiums to clients are considered. The iterative-recursive weighted least squares method, the Adam optimization algorithm, and the Monte Carlo method for Markov chains were implemented. Insurance indicators and the target variable were randomly generated due to the problem of public access to insurance data. For the latter, the normal and exponential law of distribution and the Pareto distribution with the corresponding link functions were used. Based on the quality metrics of model learning, conclusions were made regarding their construction quality.","PeriodicalId":330635,"journal":{"name":"System research and information technologies","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Estimation of the parameters of generalized linear models in the analysis of actuarial risks\",\"authors\":\"Roman Panibratov, P. Bidyuk\",\"doi\":\"10.20535/srit.2308-8893.2023.2.10\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Methods of estimating the parameters of generalized linear models for the case of paying insurance premiums to clients are considered. The iterative-recursive weighted least squares method, the Adam optimization algorithm, and the Monte Carlo method for Markov chains were implemented. Insurance indicators and the target variable were randomly generated due to the problem of public access to insurance data. For the latter, the normal and exponential law of distribution and the Pareto distribution with the corresponding link functions were used. Based on the quality metrics of model learning, conclusions were made regarding their construction quality.\",\"PeriodicalId\":330635,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"System research and information technologies\",\"volume\":\"30 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-06-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"System research and information technologies\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.20535/srit.2308-8893.2023.2.10\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"System research and information technologies","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.20535/srit.2308-8893.2023.2.10","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Estimation of the parameters of generalized linear models in the analysis of actuarial risks
Methods of estimating the parameters of generalized linear models for the case of paying insurance premiums to clients are considered. The iterative-recursive weighted least squares method, the Adam optimization algorithm, and the Monte Carlo method for Markov chains were implemented. Insurance indicators and the target variable were randomly generated due to the problem of public access to insurance data. For the latter, the normal and exponential law of distribution and the Pareto distribution with the corresponding link functions were used. Based on the quality metrics of model learning, conclusions were made regarding their construction quality.