精算风险分析中广义线性模型参数的估计

Roman Panibratov, P. Bidyuk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究了向客户缴纳保险费的广义线性模型的参数估计方法。实现了马尔可夫链的迭代递推加权最小二乘法、Adam优化算法和蒙特卡罗方法。保险指标和目标变量是由于保险数据的公众获取问题而随机生成的。对于后者,采用正态分布规律和指数分布规律以及Pareto分布及其相应的链接函数。根据模型学习的质量指标,得出了其施工质量的结论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimation of the parameters of generalized linear models in the analysis of actuarial risks
Methods of estimating the parameters of generalized linear models for the case of paying insurance premiums to clients are considered. The iterative-recursive weighted least squares method, the Adam optimization algorithm, and the Monte Carlo method for Markov chains were implemented. Insurance indicators and the target variable were randomly generated due to the problem of public access to insurance data. For the latter, the normal and exponential law of distribution and the Pareto distribution with the corresponding link functions were used. Based on the quality metrics of model learning, conclusions were made regarding their construction quality.
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