{"title":"多元货币实践下的货币政策选择机制","authors":"Hamed Ghiaie, H. Tavakolian, H. Tabarraei","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3563248","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We assess how non-orthodox monetary policy of an economy with multiple currency practices impacts growth and development. The central bank employs two monetary instruments: \n \ni) adjustment of the official exchange rate and \n \nii) adjustment of nominal monetary base growth to stabilize the economy through minimizing the inflation and output gaps. \n \nA third instrument, intervention in the foreign exchange market, is used to control the exchange rate gap. The main message of this paper is that with a persistent external shock, the MPCs are effective at best in the short-run; while it hurts long-term growth. To reduce the adverse impacts on development, we suggest using the producer price index (PPI) in the monetary instruments instead of the consumer price index (CPI). We find that the PPI results in lower welfare losses. We then show that even under a unified exchange rate regime, the PPI targeting considerably performs better. Finally, we indicate that monetary instruments are more effective in the presence of a fiscal rule.","PeriodicalId":145273,"journal":{"name":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","volume":"16 11","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Alternative Monetary Policy Regimes With Multiple Currency Practices\",\"authors\":\"Hamed Ghiaie, H. Tavakolian, H. Tabarraei\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3563248\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We assess how non-orthodox monetary policy of an economy with multiple currency practices impacts growth and development. The central bank employs two monetary instruments: \\n \\ni) adjustment of the official exchange rate and \\n \\nii) adjustment of nominal monetary base growth to stabilize the economy through minimizing the inflation and output gaps. \\n \\nA third instrument, intervention in the foreign exchange market, is used to control the exchange rate gap. The main message of this paper is that with a persistent external shock, the MPCs are effective at best in the short-run; while it hurts long-term growth. To reduce the adverse impacts on development, we suggest using the producer price index (PPI) in the monetary instruments instead of the consumer price index (CPI). We find that the PPI results in lower welfare losses. We then show that even under a unified exchange rate regime, the PPI targeting considerably performs better. Finally, we indicate that monetary instruments are more effective in the presence of a fiscal rule.\",\"PeriodicalId\":145273,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal\",\"volume\":\"16 11\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-03-27\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3563248\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Monetary Economics: Central Banks - Policies & Impacts eJournal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3563248","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Alternative Monetary Policy Regimes With Multiple Currency Practices
We assess how non-orthodox monetary policy of an economy with multiple currency practices impacts growth and development. The central bank employs two monetary instruments:
i) adjustment of the official exchange rate and
ii) adjustment of nominal monetary base growth to stabilize the economy through minimizing the inflation and output gaps.
A third instrument, intervention in the foreign exchange market, is used to control the exchange rate gap. The main message of this paper is that with a persistent external shock, the MPCs are effective at best in the short-run; while it hurts long-term growth. To reduce the adverse impacts on development, we suggest using the producer price index (PPI) in the monetary instruments instead of the consumer price index (CPI). We find that the PPI results in lower welfare losses. We then show that even under a unified exchange rate regime, the PPI targeting considerably performs better. Finally, we indicate that monetary instruments are more effective in the presence of a fiscal rule.