使用环境决策支持系统模拟化学事故后的大气污染

I. Kovalets, V. Bespalov, Svitlana Maistrenko, O. Udovenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们研究了将筛选模型与复杂的大气输送模型结合使用的可能性,以评估危险物质储存设施事故源的特征,作为现代决策支持系统的一部分,在大范围的空间和时间尺度上计算空气污染。利用筛选模型估算的应急泄漏发生后的蒸发时间,通过RODOS核应急响应系统设定排放强度并计算大气输运量。对于2022年3月23日发生在切尔尼耶夫的事故,据估计,在距离源头75公里的地方,氨的最大允许浓度超过了0.2 mg/m3。在释放后15 h内,计算得到的最大浓度与时间的关系接近渐近线cmax ~ t-4.5,这与瞬时释放后湍流弥散后气泡大小与时间的关系的渐近线σ ~ t3/2一致。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The use of environmental decision support systems for modeling of atmospheric pollution following the chemical accidents
We studied the possibility of the combined application of screening models to assess the characteristics of sources in accidents at storage facilities for hazardous substances with complex models of atmospheric transport as part of modern decision support systems to calculate air pollution in a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. The evaporation time following an emergency spill, estimated by screening models, is used to set the emission intensity and calculate the atmospheric transport by the RODOS nuclear emergency response system. For the accident in Chernihiv on March 23, 2022, it was estimated that the maximum permissible concentration of ammonia 0.2 mg/m3 was exceeded at distances up to 75 km from the source. The dependence of the calculated maximum concentrations on time is close to asymptote cmax ~ t-4.5 up to 15 h after emission, which is consistent with the asymptote σ ~ t3/2 for the time dependence of the sizes of puffs following turbulent dispersion of instantaneous releases.
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