太阳的倾斜度和强度对多聚碳酸酯模块特征及其多重回归的影响

Samsurizal Samsurizal, M. Fikri, Andi Makkulau, Chistiono Christiono
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引用次数: 0

摘要

太阳能通常被称为其他术语太阳能是可再生能源的一种形式。太阳能的潜力肯定会影响太阳能组件产生的功率,有几个影响导致太阳能不能获得最佳。本研究将采用多元回归方法对暴露在太阳倾斜角和强度下的多晶型太阳能组件进行数学建模。通过数学计算得到的结果得到了MAPE模型的精度,调整后的R平方值为0.960363563,说明无辐照变量和温度同时对得到的电流的影响百分比很大。而计算结果采用双线性回归,辐照变量(x_1)的回归系数值增加0.0000316,则意味着如果其他变量不变,辐照变量增加100 W/m2,则电流增加0.00316 A。然后,温度变量(x_2)的回归系数增加0.010573,这意味着如果其他变量保持不变,温度变量增加1℃,则电流增加0.010573 A。从这些结果中,应该知道在这种情况下使用MAPE的模型的精度水平。在该模型上得到的MAPE为7.046%,对应于平均电流测量尺度为±0.1 A的误差标准为0.007650294。因此,MAPE结果表明,该模型的精度为92.954%,表明所获得的建模效果很好。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Pengaruh Sudut Kemiringan Dan Intensitas Matahari Terhadap Karakteristik Modul Polycristaline Dengan Metode Regresi Berganda
Solar energy is often known by other terms solar energy is a form of renewable energy source. The potential of solar energy certainly affects the power generated in solar modules, there are several influences that cause solar energy not to be obtained optimally. In this study will be made mathematical modeling using multiple regression methods exposed to the angle of tilt and intensity of the sun with the research object of the polycristalline type solar module. The results obtained by calculating mathematically obtained the accuracy of the model with MAPE, as well as the adjusted value of R square of 0.960363563 which states that the percentage of the influence of irradiation-free variables and temperature simultaneously on the current obtained is very strong. While the results of calculations with double linear regression, the value of the regression coefficient on the irradiation variable (x_1) by 0.0000316, it means that if other variables remain and irradiation variables increase by 100 W/m2, then the current increases by 0.00316 A. Then the regression coefficient on the temperature variable (x_2) by 0.010573, this means if other variables remain and temperature variables increase by 1oC, then the current increases by 0.010573 A. From these results, it should be known the level of accuracy of the model which in this case uses MAPE. MAPE obtained on this model is 7.046%, this corresponds to the error standard of 0.007650294 with an average current measurement scale of ±0.1 A. Thus, the MAPE results show that the model has an accuracy of 92.954%, which means that the modeling obtained is very good.
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