发展中国家大学生对出行即服务的消费倾向和行为

R. Gandia, Julia Oliveira, Fabio Antonialli, J. Sugano, I. Nicolaï, Izabela Regina Cardoso de Oliveira
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引用次数: 3

摘要

移动即服务(MaaS)最近取得了进展,呈现出一种从现有的以所有权为基础的交通方式向以获取为基础的交通方式的转变。MaaS仍存在诸多不确定性:其发展和应用主要集中在发达国家;然而,我们相信MaaS是模块化的,适应性强,适用于多种实际情况。从这个意义上说,本研究旨在研究发展中国家大学生对MaaS使用的需求和倾向,以及了解汽车使用者和非汽车使用者的学生在移动性感知上的差异。这项调查对巴西城市拉夫拉斯的300多名大学生进行了调查。使用CART算法,我们获得了分类树来预测与MaaS使用相关的有利响应,基于几个预测变量(社会经济特征、使用的交通工具、距离等)。我们观察到,汽车使用者对成本的敏感度略低于非汽车使用者。对于汽车用户来说,通勤时间更长、灵活性和可用性较差的替代方案——即使成本较低——也没有吸引力,而非汽车用户接受替代方案,并在成本较低时花费更多时间。此外,总体而言,基于树的分类模型预测了汽车用户和非汽车用户对MaaS方案的积极依从性(69%)。作为结论,本研究表明,在发展中国家,人们倾向于接受MaaS模式为通勤者创造价值。我们发现,许多MaaS特征(如app支付、交通一体化、月费计划、定制等)呈现出可预测的替代可能性,尤其是对千禧一代而言。此外,我们发现自行车可能是全球MaaS计划可以探索的一种模式,搭便车可以作为一种策略,在公共交通缺乏效率的地方应用MaaS。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CONSUMER PREDISPOSITION AND BEHAVIOR TOWARDS MOBILITY-AS-A-SERVICE AMONG UNIVERSITY STUDENTS IN A DEVELOPING COUNTRY
Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) has been recently gaining ground, presenting a shift away from existing ownership-based transportation and towards access-based ones. MaaS is still surrounded by uncertainties: its development and applicability are mainly centered in developed countries; however, we believe that MaaS is modular, adaptable and applicable to several realities. In this sense, this study aims to examine university student’s demand and predisposition for MaaS usage in a developing country, as well as to understand the differences in mobility perception among those students who are car users and non-car users. This survey was applied to over 300 university students in a Brazilian city, Lavras. Using the CART algorithm, we obtained classification trees to predict favorable responses related to MaaS use, based on several predictor variables (socio-economic characteristics, means of transport used, distance, etc.). We observed that car users are a little less sensitive to cost than non-car users. For car users, the commute alternatives that take longer, with less flexibility and availability – even when offered at lower cost – are not appealing, while the non-car users accept alternative options and expend more time when lower costs are available. Also, in general, a tree-based classification model predicted a positive adherence possibility for a MaaS scheme for both car users and non-car users (69%). As conclusions, this study suggests that there is a predisposition to accept the MaaS model for creating value for commuters in a developing country. We found that many MaaS characteristics (e.g. payment via app, transportation integration, monthly plan, customization, and so on) presented a positively predictable possibility of substitution, especially for Millennials. Also, we found that bicycles may be a mode that can be explored for MaaS schemes worldwide, and that hitchhiking could be used as a strategy to apply MaaS in places where public transportation lacks efficiency.
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