美国跨国公司海外现金持有量:实证估计及其估值结果

John L. Campbell, D. Dhaliwal, Linda K. Krull, Casey M Schwab
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引用次数: 27

摘要

美国跨国公司在多个国家持有现金余额,这些国家的商业和税收环境各不相同。监管机构担心,目前的现金披露没有反映出这些差异。本研究对公司现金持有量的位置进行了估计,用专有数据验证了这一估计,并调查了投资者是否根据其位置对现金持有量进行了差异评估。我们发现,当公司持有较高水平的外国现金时,投资者对现金增量的价值较低。此外,我们发现这种效应与在避税天堂国家持有的现金有关,但与在政治不稳定、腐败或法律保护薄弱的国家持有的现金无关。我们的研究结果表明,在避税天堂持有的外国现金(国内现金持有)每增加一个标准差,就会使额外一美元现金的价值减少15.8(3.8)美分。当公司拥有更老练的投资者时,这一结果更为明显。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,投资者至少会部分估计现金的位置,确定在某些国家持有的现金不太可能完全变现,并相应地对现金进行贴现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
U.S. Multinational Corporations’ Foreign Cash Holdings: An Empirical Estimate and Its Valuation Consequences
U.S. multinationals hold cash balances across multiple countries with differing business and tax environments. Regulators are concerned that current cash disclosures do not reflect these differences. This study develops an estimate of the location of firms’ cash holdings, validates this estimate with proprietary data, and investigates whether investors differentially value cash holdings based on their location. We find that investors place a lower value on an incremental dollar of cash when firms have higher levels of foreign cash holdings. Further, we find that this effect is associated with cash held in tax haven countries, but is not related to cash held in countries subject to political instability, corruption, or weak legal protections. Our results suggest that a one standard deviation increase in foreign cash held in tax havens (domestic cash holdings) decreases the value of an additional dollar of cash by 15.8 (3.8) cents. This result is stronger when firms have more sophisticated investors. Overall, our findings suggest that investors at least partially estimate the location of cash, determine that cash held in some countries is unlikely to be fully realizable, and discount that cash accordingly.
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