过度自信与损失厌恶偏差对股权投资者决策过程与绩效的影响

Abdul Rauf, Muhammad Kashif Khurshid, M. Afzal
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究探讨影响巴基斯坦股票市场股票投资者投资决策过程及投资绩效的行为因素。和巴基斯坦一样,行为金融学的研究也很有限。这项研究被认为大大促进了巴基斯坦这一领域的发展。本研究从行为金融学的前期理论入手。因此,基于这些理论,研究人员提出了假设。然后,通过在巴基斯坦证券交易所分发给个人股票投资者的问卷来检验这些假设。然后采用探索性因子分析(EFA)、Cronbach’s Alpha、Pearson相关系数和多元线性回归(MLR)检验对收集到的数据进行分析。结果表明,影响个人股权投资者投资决策过程和投资绩效的行为因素主要有启发式理论(过度自信偏差)和前景理论(损失厌恶偏差)两种。两种行为偏差的大部分子变量都直接包含正向影响。但是,当使用中介变量:决策过程时;这些偏差对股权投资者的绩效有较高的正向影响,说明投资者的决策能力越强,其绩效越好。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Overconfidence and Loss Aversion Biases on Equity Investor’s Decision-Making Process and Performance
This study investigates the behavioral factors that impact on equity investors’ investment decision making process together with investment performance at Pakistan’s Stock Markets. As in Pakistan, limited work is done in behavioral finance. This study is considered to add significantly to the advancement of this field in Pakistan. The study starts with the previous theories in behavioral finance. So, based on those theories, researchers develop hypotheses. After that, these hypotheses are tested through the questionnaires which are distributed to individual equity investors at Pakistan’s Stock Exchanges. Then the collected data are analyzed by using Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA), Cronbach’s Alpha, Pearson Correlation Coefficient and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) tests. The results show that there are two mainly behavioral factors: Heuristic Theory (Overconfidence Bias) and Prospect Theory (Loss Aversion Bias), affecting the investment decisions making process and performance of individual equity investors. Most of the sub-variables of both behavioral biases directly contain positive impact. But, when the mediating variable: decision making process was used; these biases contain high positive impact on the performance of equity investors which concludes the better decision-making ability of investors help them to improve their performance.
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