网路上的政治:利用Twitter评估巴西代表的意识形态立场

Rafael Martins de Souza, Luís Graça, Ralph S. Silva
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引用次数: 3

摘要

社交媒体的使用在巴西的公民和政治家中变得越来越普遍。在2014年立法和总统选举期间,这种沟通手段成为辩论和宣传的关键场所,当时出现了非常两极分化的政治局面。已经开发出新的方法,利用政治参与者在社交媒体平台(如Twitter)上构建的社会网络结构中的信息来计算理想点。在Twitter上“关注”某个人资料的决定所产生的数据,是否可以用来估计政客的意识形态立场?这样的方法能否显示出政治立场的差异,即使是在一个非常分散的立法机构(如巴西众议院)内部?本文使用巴西的数据,介绍并分析了Barbera(2015)开发的贝叶斯空间模型的成功应用。这种方法可以捕捉到政党和政治行为者之间的差异,类似于通过唱名投票发现的差异。它还可以为参与公共辩论但不是职业政治家的演员计算理想分数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Politics on the Web: Using Twitter to Estimate the Ideological Positions of Brazilian Representatives
The use of social media has become increasingly widespread among citizens and politicians in Brazil. This means of communication served as a key arena for debate and propaganda during the 2014 legislative and presidential elections, when a very polarized political scenario emerged. New approaches have been developed that use information from the social network structure constructed by political actors on social media platforms, such as Twitter, in order to calculate ideal points. Can data from the decision to 'follow' a profile on Twitter be used to estimate politicians' ideological positions? Can approaches like this show the variance of political positions even within a very fragmented legislative body, such as the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies? This article presents and analyzes the successful application of a Bayesian spatial model developed by Barbera (2015), using data from Brazil. This method allowed to capture differences between parties and political actors similar to those found by means of roll call votes. It also makes possible to calculate ideal points for actors who participate in the public debate, but are not professional politicians.
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