基于HFTSF算法的股价预测

C. Latha, S. Bhuvaneswari, K. Soujanya
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引用次数: 0

摘要

预测仍然是一个潜在的研究领域,特别是在股票市场。任何预测模型都必须克服影响市场波动因素的主观性。目前的模糊模型多年来一直在努力提高金融市场预测的准确性。所研究现象的模糊收益有助于降低金融市场的主观性,特别是在人类情绪影响方面。这在很大程度上是基于模糊集的。另一方面,模糊集可能不能完全满足或表征数据的模糊性,因为它们无法描述时间序列的中性水平。现有的模糊推理系统对单变量框架的依赖是另一个重要而关键的缺点。然而,作为预测问题一部分的时间序列经常相互影响。考虑到这些因素,为建立在新的模糊集和模糊逻辑关系集合上的时间序列预测问题创建混合模糊系统是很重要的。在此背景下,本研究提出了一种混合模糊时间序列预测模型(HFTSF),用于标准普尔孟买证券交易所信息技术(s&p BSE IT)指数的时间序列数据预测。这种模式增加了获得更好预测的机会。验证技术如均方根误差、均方误差和平均绝对误差被用于验证预测结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stock Price Prediction using HFTSF Algorithm
Forecasting is still a potential area of research, particularly in the stock market. Any forecasting model must overcome the subjective nature of the factors that affect market oscillation. Current fuzzy models have made an effort throughout the years to improve financial market forecasting accuracy. The fuzzy returns of the phenomena under study contribute to reducing the subjective nature of the financial market, particularly with respect to the effect of human emotions. These are based on large part on fuzzy sets. Fuzzy sets, on the other hand, may not fully satisfy or characterize the ambiguity of the data since they are unable to depict the level of neutrality of time series. Existing fuzzy inference systems’ reliance on a univariate framework is another important and crucial shortcoming. However, the time series that are part of a prediction problem frequently interact with one another. Given these factors, it is important to create a hybrid fuzzy system for a time series prediction issue that is built on fresh fuzzy sets and a collection of fuzzy logic relations. In this context, this research suggests a hybrid fuzzy time-series forecasting model (HFTSF) on the Standard & Poor Bombay Stock Exchange Information Technology (S& P BSE IT) index, for the prediction of time-series data. This model boosts the chances of getting better forecasts. The validation techniques such as root mean square error, mean square error, and mean absolute error were used in terms of validating the predicting outcomes.
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