私营部门在阿联酋经济多样化中的作用的定量评估

Radwa Radwan Said
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引用次数: 2

摘要

阿拉伯联合酋长国(阿联酋)经常被视为海湾合作委员会区域的成功案例,因为它实施了以市场友好的方式刺激增长和发展的政策。本研究旨在探讨经济多元化与私营部门发展之间的关系。为此,我们采用了ARDL非积分方法来检验变量之间的长期和短期关系。我们发现国内私营部门信贷与多元化指数之间存在正相关关系。此外,国内私营部门信贷(DCPS)占GDP的百分比与经济多样化指数既有短期关系,也有长期关系。结果表明,国内私营部门信贷在短期和长期都将促进经济多元化。此外,政府基础设施在长期内也会促进经济多元化,但短期内不会。从长期来看,贸易开放对经济多元化具有负面影响,但在短期内具有积极影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Quantitative Assessment of the Role of the Private Sector in Economic Diversification in UAE
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has often been addressed as a success case in the GCC region due to its implemented policies that spurred growth and development with a market-friendly approach. This study aims to investigate the relationship between economic diversification and private sector development. For this, we employed an ARDL con-integration method to check the long run as well as short run relationship between variables. We found that the domestic credit to private sector has a positive relationship with diversification index. Also, domestic credit to private sector (DCPS) percentage of GDP has both short and long run relationship with economic diversification index. The results indicate that the domestic credit to private sector will promote the economic diversification in both the short and long runs. Moreover, the government infrastructure will also promote economic diversification in the long run but not in the short run. The trade openness has a negative impact on economic diversification in the long run, but it has a positive impact in the short run.
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