神经网络在电力消耗参数预测中的应用

A. G. Lyutarevich
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究是在俄罗斯联邦科学和高等教育部国家任务的框架内进行的(主题:开发电网非平稳模式的小波分析模型,以提高向消费者供电的可靠性和效率,主题代码:FENG-2023-0005)。研究课题:日负荷调度的预测神经网络模型。研究目的:利用混合神经网络对电力负荷图进行电力消耗预测。研究对象:供电系统参数的预测方法。主要研究成果:给出了基于日负荷曲线的供电系统参数预测结果。仿真在MATLAB软件包中进行。作为预测工具,使用神经网络进行训练,其中负载值平均在半小时的时间间隔内,并使用表征每日负载计划的系数。结果表明,混合网络给出了一个相当准确的结果,从而证实了使用神经网络预测功率或用电量的充分性。研究结果可用于供电系统的短期参数预测和其他参数预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of neural networks for prediction of power consumption parameters
Research was carried out within the framework of the state task of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation (topic Development of wavelet analysis models for non-stationary modes of electrical networks to improve the reliability and efficiency of power supply to consumers, topic code: FENG-2023-0005). Subject of research: predictive neural network model for a daily load schedule. Purpose of the study: prediction of power consumption based on the graph of electrical loads using a hybrid neural network. Object of research: methods for predicting the parameters of the power supply system. Main results of research: the results of forecasting the parameters of the power supply system based on daily load curves are presented. The simulation was carried out in the MATLAB software package. As a forecasting tool, a neural network was used, for the training of which load values averaged over half-hour time intervals and coefficients characterizing daily load schedules were used. The results obtained showed that the hybrid network gives a fairly accurate result, thereby confirming the adequacy of using a neural network to predict power or electricity consumption. The results of the study can be used for short-term forecasting and other parameters of the power supply system.
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