识别他人偏好:来自哥伦比亚公共资源博弈的证据

Sandra Polanía-Reyes, David Echeverry
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引用次数: 6

摘要

社会偏好对于解释博弈结果中偏离纳什均衡的现象非常重要。在任何关于他人偏好的模型中,一个持久的挑战是确定人群中的异质性。利用1095个人(21%是学生,79%是村民,是CPR的使用者)参与的公共资源池(CPR)游戏的数据,我们估计了一个包括利他主义、互惠和平等偏好的结构模型。我们使用潜在类逻辑模型来识别行为类型。考察了外生类型决定因素,如社会经济特征、对CPR的看法、对社区合作的感知兴趣、参与者是否从事志愿者工作以及CPR是否是家庭的主要经济活动。对偏离纳什均衡的一种竞争性解释是认知因素的存在:构建最佳回应可能会对其他玩家的错误做出理性预期(例如,量子反应均衡)。虽然认知方面有助于模型更好地拟合数据,但我们没有发现太多认知异质性的证据,而是发现了大量的行为异质性。基于类型的选择预测具有样本外的鲁棒性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Identification of Other-Regarding Preferences: Evidence from a Common Pool Resource Game in Colombia
Social preferences have been important to the explanation of deviations from Nash equilibrium in game outcomes. An enduring challenge in any model of other-regarding preferences is to identify heterogeneity within the population. Using data from a common pool resource (CPR) game in the field with 1,095 individuals (21% students and 79% villagers, users of a CPR) we estimate a structural model including preferences for altruism, reciprocity and equity. We identify behavioral types using a latent class logit model. Exogenous determinants of type are examined such as socio-economic characteristics, perceptions on the CPR, perceived interest in cooperation among the community, whether the participant does volunteer work and whether the CPR is the household main economic activity of the household.A competing explanation of deviations from Nash equilibrium is the existence of a cognitive factor: the construction of a best reply might make rational expectations about other players’ mistakes (e.g. quantal response equilibrium). Whilst a cognitive aspect would help the model better fit the data, we do not find much evidence for cognitive heterogeneity, and instead a great deal of behavioral heterogeneity. Choice prediction based on types is robust out of sample.
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