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引用次数: 1
摘要
四个相互关联的因素影响了安吉拉·默克尔领导的基民盟/基社盟2017年的竞选:(1)对她成功实现基民盟现代化的矛盾心理;(2) 2015年难民政策的后果;(3)一种滋生自满情绪、同时动员怀疑论者的政党战略;(4)战术误判。默克尔领导的基民盟/基社盟(CDU/CSU)位居第一,但损失创纪录,而右翼民粹主义政党德国新选择党(Alternative for Germany)成为德国第三大党。这次竞选,它的结果,以及在一个分裂和两极化的政党体系下,她建立另一个大联盟的需要,似乎肯定会助长基民盟/基社盟内部在身份、战略和后默克尔时代的人事方面的相互指责。
Four inter-related factors shaped the 2017 campaign of Angela
Merkel’s CDU/CSU: (1) ambivalence over her successful modernization of the
CDU; (2) fallout from her 2015 refugee policy; (3) a party strategy that bred
complacency while mobilizing skeptics; and (4) tactical miscalculations.
Merkel’s CDU/CSU came in first, but suffered record losses, while the rightwing
populist Alternative for Germany emerged as Germany’s third party.
The campaign, its result and—with a fragmented and polarized party system—
her need to build another grand coalition all seemed sure to fuel recrimi -
nations within the CDU/CSU over identity, strategy, and personnel in a post
Merkel era.