利用人工智能技术预测高压气藏露点压力

Amjed Hassan, M. Mahmoud, A. Abdulraheem
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引用次数: 0

摘要

露点压力是表征气藏的一个曲线参数。有几种方法可用于确定露点压力,包括实验室测量和经验模型。然而,实验室测定既昂贵又耗时,特别是在研究高压致密储层时,需要更多的谨慎和程序。然而,经验相关性并不能准确反映流体行为的复杂性,并且针对高压储层建立了有限的模型。这项工作的目标是开发一种可靠的工具来预测致密和高压气藏的露点压力。这项工作分五个主要阶段进行;数据收集,质量控制,模型构建,开发新的相关性,模型验证。这项工作中使用的数据是基于250个实验室测量得出的。对所有数据进行评估,去除噪声和异常值。研究了不同类型的人工智能方法,以得出最佳的确定模型。研究了人工神经网络(ANN)技术、支持向量机(SVM)方法和自适应模糊逻辑(AFL)系统。以烃类组成和分子量作为露点压力的输入。采用不同类型的误差指标来衡量所建立方程的预测性能。确定了不同模型的平均误差百分比和相关系数值。该模型预测露点压力的百分比误差为4.85%,r2值为0.94。本研究建立的人工神经网络模型有4个神经元和1个隐藏层。提出了一个基于最佳人工神经网络程序的经验方程,以提供露点压力的直接估计。所得方程的平均误差为5.74%,r2值为0.93。总的来说,所提出的模型可以减少确定露点压力所需的成本和时间,并通过提供快速可靠的估计有助于改善油藏管理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction of Dew Point Pressure for High-Pressure Gas Reservoirs Using Artificial Intelligence Techniques
Dew point pressure is a curial parameter in characterizing gas reservoirs. Several methods can be used to determine the dew point pressure, including laboratory measurements and empirical models. However, laboratory determinations are expensive and time-consuming, especially for studying high-pressure tight reservoirs where more caution and procedures will be required. While empirical correlations do not accurately reflect the complexity of fluid behavior, and limited models were developed for high-pressure reservoirs. The goal of this work is to develop a reliable tool for predicting the dew point pressure for tight and high-pressure gas reservoirs. This work was carried out using five main phases; data collection, quality control, model construction, development of new correlation, and model validation. The data used in this work were obtained based on 250 laboratory measurements. All data were evaluated and the noises and outliers were removed. Different types of artificial intelligence methods were examined to come up with the best determination model. Artificial neural network (ANN) technique, support vector machine (SVM) approach, and adaptive fuzzy logic (AFL) systems were investigated. The hydrocarbon compositions and the molecular weights were used as inputs to estimate the dew point pressure. Different types of error indices were employed to measure the prediction performance of the developed equation. Average percentage error and correlation coefficient values were determined for the different models. The developed model predicts the dew point pressure with a percentage error of 4.85% and an R2-value of 0.94. The ANN model developed in this study has 4 neurons and one hidden layer. An empirical equation was proposed based on the best ANN program to provide a direct estimation of the dew point pressure. The extracted equation can provide an average error of 5.74% and an R2-value of 0.93. Overall, the proposed model can reduce the cost and time required for determining the dew point pressure and help to improve reservoir management by providing fast and reliable estimations.
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