当前能源市场背景下电厂现代化与发展情景分析

A. Duinea
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摘要

本研究的目的是分析在当地电力和热能市场的背景下发展发电厂的几个可能的假设。能源市场可能受到工业市场中最重要客户(以下简称“战略客户”)可能停止活动的限制。停止其活动将使电厂每年失去28.02%的电力供应,这是根据与战略客户的“连续性”假设估计的发电量,即同一替代方案的年发热量的78.19%。很明显,停止该公司的活动构成了电厂的残疾,通过对现代化、现代化-发展和发展的几种可能情况的比较分析,突出了其严重性。就电力市场而言,发电厂属于电力生产来源装备较强的区域。在热能市场方面,随着战略客户的脱钩,电厂失去了一个重要而稳定的客户,只生产供热建筑和为城市居民准备生活热水。研究的结果是从必要的投资、市场电价的变化和环境影响的角度出发,提出了技术方案的层次结构。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modernization and Development Scenarios of the Power Plants in the Present Energy Market Context
The aim of this study is to analyze several possible hypotheses for the development of a power plant in the context of the local electricity and heat market. The energy market may be constraint by the probable cessation of the activity of the most important customer in the industrial market, hereinafter referred to as “ strategic customer. ” Stopping its activity would deprive the power plant of an annual electricity supply of 28.02% of the electricity production estimated in the “ continuity ” hypothesis with the strategic customer, namely an annual heat of 78.19% of the heat output of the same alternative. It is very clear that stopping the activity of the company constitutes a disability for the power plant, whose magnitude has been highlighted by the comparative analysis of several possible scenarios of modernization, modernization-development, and development. As far as the electricity market is concerned, the power plant belongs to the area that is strongly equipped with sources of electricity production. With regard to the thermal energy market, the power plant, following the decoupling of the strategic customer, loses an important and stable consumer and stays only with the production of heat for heating the buildings and the preparation of domestic hot water for the residents of the city. The study ’ s result is the hierarchy of the proposed technical scenarios from the point of view of the necessary investment, the variation of the electricity tariff on the market, and the environmental impact.
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