运用决策树模型分析客户保险交易的影响因素

Che-Nan Kuo, Yu-Da Lin, Yu-Huei Cheng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,数字化在世界范围内发展迅速。在各种技术逐渐成熟的情况下,互联网和移动设备的普及,物联网和云计算服务的出现,带动了各类数据的增长,使数据大大增加和多样化。这些数据的价值可以用来预测消费者的行为,区分用户群体,研究出有效的营销策略,创造差异化的竞争力。为了预测消费者购买保险产品的行为,本研究收集台湾台南某银行的4474笔保险交易。数据预处理后,可用的事务号为3430。在这些有组织的交易中,我们将保险产品的分类作为因变量,将客户的属性作为自变量。然后,采用卡方检验进行相关分析,对不相关因素进行分析。利用决策树机器学习模型分析影响因素。根据决策树模型的分析结果,准确率接近70%,其中最重要的影响因素是实际保费和币种。这两个影响因素可以作为台南地区银行精准营销的参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analyze influence factors in customer’s insurance transaction by decision tree model
In recent years, the development of the digital is rapidly in the world. In a variety of technologies gradually mature, the Internet and mobile device popularization, the IOT and cloud computing services, driving the growth of all kinds of data, so that the data greatly increased and diversified. The value of these data can be used to predict the consumer’s behavior, difference the user groups to study out efficient marketing strategies, and create differentiated competitiveness.In order to predict the consumer’s behavior of buying insurance products, the research collected 4474 insurance transactions from a bank in Taiwan Tainan. After the data pre-processing, the available transaction number is 3430. In these organized transactions, we let the classification of insurance products as the dependent variable, and the attributes of customers as independent variables. Then, using the correlation analysis by chi-squared test to carry out un-relevant factors. Analyzing the influence factors by decision tree machine learning model. According to the analysis result of the decision tree model, the accuracy rate almost close to 70%, and the most important influence factors are the actual insurance fee and currency. These two influence factors can be used as a reference for the bank in Taiwan Tainan to precise the marketing.
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