尼日利亚寻求外国直接投资流入市场?一种误差修正模型方法

T AfolayanOlufunmilayo, T TomiwaFiwajomi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是研究1990年至2017年期间决定尼日利亚外国直接投资流入的关键宏观经济变量,过去的研究尚未充分探讨这些变量。因此,本研究利用了贸发会议世界银行数据库和CBN统计公报的数据,并使用误差修正模型来解决本研究的目标。然而,以下是本研究的重要发现。以下是该研究发现的重要发现。误差修正项表明,前一年由于外部冲击造成的总不平衡的22%在本年度得到了修正。外国直接投资流入尼日利亚的主要驱动力是经济增长率。而市场规模在短期内对FDI流入的影响并不显著。因此,外国直接投资流入尼日利亚并不是为了寻求市场。此外,基于这些发现,本研究为尼日利亚的政策制定者提出以下建议。政策制定者应该采取全面的方法,以扩大国家的市场规模,确保两位数的经济增长率。同样,尼日利亚的决策者应采取政策措施,通过市场规模和长期经济增长率来保证外国直接投资流入的可持续性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is Foreign Direct Investment Inflow Market Seeking in Nigeria? An Error Correction Model Approach
The aim of this study is to examine the critical macroeconomic variables that determine the inflows of FDI in Nigeria over the period of 1990 to 2017 which past studies have not fully explored. Consequently, the study utilized data from UNCTAD World Bank database and CBN Statistical Bulletin and error correction model was used to address the objective of this study. However, the following are the crucial findings that originated from this study. The following are the crucial findings that the study discovered. The error correction term indicates that about 22% of total disequilibrium due to external shock in the previous year is corrected in the current year. The principal driver of FDI inflows in Nigeria is growth rate of the economy. While, market size only caused an insignificant FDI inflow in the short run. Therefore, FDI inflow in Nigeria is not market seeking. Furthermore, based on these findings, this study makes the following recommendations for the policy makers in Nigeria. The policy makers should embark on holistic approach that has the capacity to expand the country`s market size and ensure a double-digit growth rate of the economy. In the same vein, the policy measures that would guarantee sustainability of the FDI inflows through market size and growth rate of economy in the long run should be put in place by the policy makers in Nigeria.
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