基于机器学习的伦敦家庭智能电表能耗数据短期负荷预测

Doaa A. Bashawyah, S. Qaisar
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引用次数: 14

摘要

随着智能电表的广泛应用,对电力运营公司和用户都有了广泛的管理和监控。在智能电表的基础上,现在可以建立可行的负荷预测技术。通过建立先进的能源需求知识机制,这些技术在现代智能电网中发挥着至关重要的作用。这些信息对电力运营公司和终端用户都有好处。电力供应商可以及早做出决策,管理经济可靠的电力供应。它还能帮助用户有效规划能源使用,从而降低总体消耗,减少账单。本文采用机器学习模型建立历史能源消耗读数之间的关系,以构建和测试短期负荷预测。为了检验建议方法的性能,本文使用了一个有关伦敦城市家庭消费信息的公开数据集。数据集在谷歌实验室的帮助下进行了整理和预处理。使用的机器学习模型是 k-nearest neighbor (KNN) 和支持向量机 (SVM)。这些模型的性能通过均方根误差百分比(PRMSE)和平均绝对误差百分比(MAPE)等指标进行量化。MAPE 值最低,为 4.13%,PRMSE 值最低,为 1.08%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Machine Learning Based Short-Term Load Forecasting for Smart Meter Energy Consumption Data in London Households
The eolved deployment of smart meters has enabledan extensive authority and monitoring on both electricity operating companies and customers. Based on smart meters, it is possible now to establish viable load prediction techniques. These techniques are playing a critical role in modern smart grids by establishing a mechanism of advanced knowledge of energy demand. This information is beneficial for both electricity operating companies and end consumers. The electricity providers can take early decisions to manage an economical and reliable supply of electricity. It can also helps the customers to effectively plan their energy use and thereby reduce their overall consumption and bills. This paper employs machine learning models for building relationships between historical energy consumption readings to build and test a short-term load forecasting. A publicaly available dataset, about London city households consumption information, is used to examine the performance of suggested method. The datasets are organized and preprocessed with the help of Google Colaboratory. The used machine learning models are k-nearest neighbor (KNN) and support vector machine (SVM). The performances of these models are quantified by using metrics such as percentage root mean square error (PRMSE) and mean absolute percent error (MAPE). The lowest MAPE value of 4.13% and PRMSE value of 1.08% are secured.
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