公路隧道建设资源预测的机器学习方法

A. Mahmoodzadeh, S. Rashidi, Adil Hussein Mohammed, Hunar Farid Hama, ,. H. Hashim Ibrahim
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引用次数: 2

摘要

对隧道工程需求的增加,增加了对其施工所需时间和成本的关注。影响隧道施工时间和造价的参数大多是未知的。本文的目的是提供一种利用线性回归(LR)方法预测公路隧道施工时间和成本的方法。为了训练LR方法,从历史道路隧道中获取了一些数据集。为验证该方法的可行性,将其应用于某公路隧道。将所有预测结果与隧道施工实际结果进行了比较,并对预测结果的准确性进行了考察。根据均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)和确定系数(R2)三个统计评价标准,预测结果具有很高的准确性。计算得到施工时间的RMSE、MAPE和R2指数分别为0.0005天、0.9380637%和0.9874;工程费分别为7.1194美元、0.7891593%、0.9873美元。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Machine Learning Approaches to Enable Resource Forecasting Process of Road Tunnels Construction
Increasing demand for tunneling projects, increases attention to time and cost required for their construction. Most of parameters which are affecting on the time and cost of tunnel construction are unknown. The purpose of this paper is to provide a method to predict the construction time and cost of a road tunnelusing linear regression (LR) method. In order to train the LR method, some datasets are obtained from the historical road tunnels. To verify the feasibility of the proposed method, it has been applied to a road tunnel. All of the forecasted results have been compared with the actual results obtained during the tunnel construction and the accuracy of the predictions has been investigated. According to three statistical evaluation criteria of root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and determination of the coefficient (R2), a very high accuracy has been obtained in the prediction results. The RMSE, MAPE and R2 indices have been calculated as 0.0005 days, 0.9380637% and 0.9874 for the construction time, respectively; and 7.1194 US$,0.78891593% and 0.9873 for the construction cost, respectively.
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