土耳其农业、工业、服务业与经济增长的关系:bootstrap toda-yamamoto因果检验

Özlem Gül Di̇nç
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引用次数: 3

摘要

随着时间的推移,许多国家经历了经济结构的变化,这些结构变化一般是从农业到工业,从工业到服务业。虽然农业部门的重要性随着经济结构变化的过程而降低,但随着人均收入水平的提高,工业部门开始脱颖而出,但工业部门在服务业中的地位仍保持不变,并不断提高。土耳其是一个发展中国家,也正在经历经济结构变化。从这个角度出发,研究了1968- 2020年期间经济增长与农业、工业和服务业之间的关系。根据研究中使用的Bootstrap Toda-Yamamoto因果检验的结果,农业部门与经济增长之间存在单向因果关系,而经济增长与服务业之间存在双向因果关系。然而,根据本研究的结果,工业部门与经济增长之间不存在因果关系。考虑到所获得的结果,我们建议政策制定者和从业者采取一些激励措施和援助政策,如税收和补贴,以发展农业和服务业。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AGRICULTURE, INDUSTRY, SERVICE SECTORS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TURKEY: BOOTSTRAP TODA-YAMAMOTO CAUSALITY TEST
Many countries undergo economic structural changes over time, and these structural changes are generally from agriculture to industry and from industry to the service sector. While the importance of the agricultural sector decreases with the economic structural change process, the increase in the level of per capita income, the industrial sector begins to come to the fore, but the industrial sector retains its place in the service sector, which is constantly increasing. Turkey, which is a developing country, is also experiencing an economic structural change. From this perspective, the study examines the relationship between economic growth and agriculture, industry, and service sector in the period 1968-to 2020. According to the results of the Bootstrap Toda-Yamamoto causality test used in the study, there is a one-way causality relationship between the agricultural sector and economic growth, while there is a bidirectional causality relationship between economic growth and the service sector. However, according to the results of this study, there is no causal relationship between the industrial sector and economic growth. Considering the results obtained, we recommend that policymakers and practitioners take steps regarding some incentives and aid policies such as taxes and subsidies, to develop the agriculture and service sector.
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