项目评估中的风险管理与价值管理

A. Doni, N. Smith
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引用次数: 6

摘要

项目生命周期的评估阶段从项目开始时开始,到项目批准实施时结束。在评估阶段,对项目的可行性和最可行的项目选择进行关键决策。为了使好的想法和现实的项目得到认可,风险管理和价值管理技术都被使用。本文考察了目前在项目评估中的工业实践,并指出了为什么一些从业者表达了对其中一种技术的偏好,而另一些则表达了对另一种技术的偏好。那些更倾向于价值管理而不是风险管理的人指出,必须首先审查项目的目标和选择的定义,而那些实施风险管理的人首先认为,评估为实现项目目标而制定的计划的风险必须优先于机会最大化。这两种技术在不确定情况下的决策中都很重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk management and value management in project appraisal
The appraisal phase of the project life cycle commences with the inception of the project and ends with the sanction of the project for implementation. During the appraisal phase the key decisions on the viability of the project and the most feasible project option are made in sequence. To enable good ideas and realistic projects to be recognised, both risk management and value management techniques are used, among others. This paper examines current industrial practice in project appraisal and indicates why some practitioners expressed a preference for one of these techniques and some for the other. Those preferring value management prior to risk management stated that the objectives of the project and the definition of options must be examined first, whereas those implementing risk management first considered that assessing the risks of the plan developed to achieve project objectives must take priority over maximising opportunities. Both techniques are important in decision making under uncertainty dur...
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