金融压力模型使用了拖延者和格罗弗对受COVID-19大流行影响的公司的模型

D. Gunawan, Titi Dewi Warninda
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本研究旨在利用塔夫勒和格罗弗预测模型预测和分析受Covid-19大流行影响的公司的财务困境。使用的数据是该公司2018-2020年在印尼证券交易所上市的季度数据,该公司2019年盈利为正,2020年盈利或亏损下降。在数据抽样过程中使用的技术是46家公司的有目的抽样技术。研究结果表明,Taffler和Grover模型可以预测受Covid-19大流行影响的公司的财务困境状况。Taffler模型的准确率为73.19%,高于Grover模型,而Grover模型的准确率为70.1%。受新冠肺炎疫情影响,预测结果不太准确。Pearson相关检验结果表明,Taffler模型与Grover模型具有很强的相关性,变量之间的关系是单向的。关键词:新冠肺炎,财务困境,塔夫勒,格罗弗,皮尔逊相关性
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PREDIKSI FINANCIAL DISTRESS MENGGUNAKAN MODEL TAFFLER DAN GROVER PADA PERUSAHAAN YANG TERDAMPAK PANDEMI COVID-19
This study aims to predict and analyze financial distress using the Taffler and Grover prediction model in the companies affected by the Covid-19 pandemic. The data used is the company's quarterly listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange for 2018-2020, which had positive profit in 2019 and suffered a decline in profits or losses in 2020. The technique used in the data sampling process is a purposive sampling technique of 46 companies. The study results depicts that the Taffler and Grover models can predict financial distress conditions in companies affected by the Covid-19 pandemic. The Taffler model has a greater accuracy rate than the Grover model, which is 73.19%, while the Grover model has an accuracy rate of 71,01%. Prediction results are less accurate due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Pearson's correlation test results showed a correlation between the Taffler model and Grover model that the relationship between variables is strong and unidirectional.Keywords: Covid-19, Financial Distress, Taffler, Grover, Pearson Correlation.
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