可持续发展:可再生资源与技术进步

Simone Valente
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引用次数: 12

摘要

在关于可持续发展的文献中,最优性与可持续性之间的冲突是典型的。Pezzey和Withagen(1998)利用“资本-资源”增长模型证明,如果自然资源是可耗尽的,那么消费的时间路径是单峰的,从某个时间点开始下降。本文将模型扩展到技术进步、资源可再生、开采成本和人口增长。主要结果是,对于任何规模技术的恒定回报,只有当社会贴现率不超过资源再生和增加率的总和时,最优路径才能是可持续的。发展节约资源的技术对于长期维持人均消费是至关重要的,而资本折旧和开采费用对于这种可持续性条件是中性的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sustainable Development: Renewable Resources and Technological Progress
Conflicts between optimality and sustainability are typical in the literature on sustainable development. Using the 'capital-resource' growth model, Pezzey and Withagen (1998) have proved that if natural resources are exhaustible, the time-path of consumption is single-peaked, declining from some point in time onwards. This paper extends the model to include technical progress, resource renewability, extraction costs and population growth. The main result is that, for any constant returns to scale technology, optimal paths can be sustainable only if the social discount rate does not exceed the sum of the rates of resource regeneration and augmentation. The development of resource-saving techniques is crucial for sustaining consumption per capita in the long run, whereas capital depreciation and extraction costs are neutral with respect to this sustainability condition.
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