货币增长规律下的商业周期和金融摩擦

W. Melesse
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引用次数: 4

摘要

在过去几年中,宏观经济模型强调了信贷市场摩擦在放大和传递名义和实际干扰方面的作用,以及它们对宏观审慎政策设计的影响。本文构建了一个具有活跃银行部门的适度新凯恩斯一般均衡模型。在这种情况下,金融部门通过企业资产负债表和银行资本状况,以及它们对投资和生产决策的影响,与经济的实体方面相互作用。我依赖于伯南克等人(1999)提出的金融加速器机制,并将其与Aguiar和Drumond(2007)所证明的银行资本渠道相结合。所得模型从低收入经济体的角度进行了校准,反映了存在较高的投资调整成本、较强的财政主导地位和不发达的金融和资本市场。这项工作的主要目的是看看在基于利率规则的模拟中记录的金融加速机制是否可以在中央银行使用货币增长规则来稳定国民经济的情况下复制。这些发现与先前的研究大体一致,即信贷市场不完善在放大和传播货币政策冲击方面发挥了更大的作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Business Cycles and Financial Frictions under Money Growth Rule
In the last few years, macroeconomic modeling has emphasized the role of credit market frictions in magnifying and transmitting nominal and real disturbances and their implication for macro-prudential policy design. In this paper, I construct a modest New Keynesian general equilibrium model with active banking sector. In this set-up, the financial sector interacts with the real side of the economy via firm balance sheet and bank capital conditions and through their impact on investment and production decisions. I rely on the financial accelerator mechanism due to Bernanke et al. (1999) and combine it with a bank capital channel as demonstrated by Aguiar and Drumond (2007). The resulting model is calibrated from the perspective of a low-income economy reflecting the existence of relatively high investment adjustment cost, strong fiscal dominance, and underdeveloped financial and capital markets. The main objective of this exercise is to see whether the financial accelerator mechanism documented under interest-rate-rule based simulations could be replicated under a situation where the central bank uses money growth rule in stabilizing the national economy. The findings are broadly consistent with previous studies that demonstrated stronger role for credit market imperfections in amplifying and propagating monetary policy shocks.
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