尼日利亚国际收支平衡的决定因素

Adelegan Adelegan, Abiodun Edward, A. Abraham, Anthony O Anthony
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文使用1981年至2019年的年度数据研究了尼日利亚的国际收支。本文的主要目的是研究影响尼日利亚国际收支平衡的长期因素。采用自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL)进行研究。ARDL回归的长期结果显示汇率系数为负,而短期结果显示汇率系数为正。FDI、GDP增速、利率、原油价格的系数均为正且显著。正如这项研究所证明的那样,政府干预提高经济生产率是有充分理由的。为了帮助经济繁荣,应该进行资本投资和支出。政府应向潜在的外国投资者提供激励措施,以吸引外国直接投资流入该国。政府还应加强安全和保障,并在尼日尔三角洲建立归属感,以促进和平,便利在那里的石油工业开展业务。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Determinants of Balance of Payments in Nigeria
The Balance of Payments in Nigeria was studied using annual data from 1981 to 2019 in this article. The paper's major goal was to examine the long-term factors that influence Nigeria's Balance of Payments. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) was used in the investigation. Long-term results from the ARDL regression showed that the exchange rate coefficient was negative, whereas short-term results showed a positive value. Also, the coefficients of FDI, GDP growth, interest rates, and crude oil prices were positive and significant. There is a strong case can be made for governmental intervention to improve economic productivity, as evidenced by this study. To help the economy thrive, capital investments and expenditures should be made. The government should make incentives to prospective foreign investors in order to attract FDI inflows into the country. Government should also enhance safety and security and build a sense of belonging in the Niger Delta in order to promote peace and ease of doing business in the petroleum industry there.
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