个人和专家系统外壳操纵确定性因素的比较

[1988] Proceedings of the Twenty-First Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. Volume III: Decision Support and Knowledge Based Systems Track Pub Date : 1988-07-01 DOI:10.1080/07421222.1988.11517817

D. Kopcso, L. Pipino, W. Rybolt

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引用次数: 14

摘要

讨论了专家系统外壳中不确定性的处理，首先回顾了专家系统外壳对不确定性的建模。一个实验，以复制早期的工作调查的方式，其中个人操纵确定性因素，比较商业壳进行了讨论。比较了七种商业外壳，包括基于个人电脑(PC)和基于大型机的外壳，以及个人外壳。个体和壳本身之间存在显著差异。讨论了专家系统和决策支持系统方法的一些含义。

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A comparison of the manipulation of certainty factors by individuals and expert system shells

The treatment of uncertainty in expert system shells is addressed, starting with a review of the modeling of uncertainty by expert system shells. An experiment to replicate earlier work investigating the manner in which individuals manipulate certainty factors in comparison to commercial shells is discussed. Comparisons are made among seven commercial shells, both personal-computer (PC)-based and mainframe-based, and individuals. A significant difference between individuals and shells themselves is indicated. Some implications for both expert system and decision-support-system methodologies are discussed.<>

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来源期刊

[1988] Proceedings of the Twenty-First Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. Volume III: Decision Support and Knowledge Based Systems Track

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