共同冲击、共同动力与国际经济周期

M. Centoni, G. Cubadda, Alain Hecq
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文提出了一个计量经济学框架来评估产生国际经济周期的共同冲击和共同传导机制的重要性。然后,我们展示了如何将永久性-暂时性冲击的周期性影响分解为由于其国内因素和由于外国因素的周期性影响。我们的实证分析表明,美国、日本、加拿大的商业周期显然是由其国内因素主导的。与我们分析的其他三个国家相比,欧元区对外部冲击更为敏感。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Common Shocks, Common Dynamics and the International Business Cycle
This paper proposes an econometric framework to assess the importance of common shocks and common transmission mechanisms ingenerating international business cycles. Then we show how to decompose the cyclical effects of permanent-transitory shocks into those due to their domestic and those due to foreign components. Our empirical analysis reveals that the business cycles of the US,Japan,Canada are clearly dominated by their domestic components. The Euro area is more sensitive to foreign shocks compared to the other three countries of our analysis.
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