应用支持向量回归预测聚合丁苯橡胶电缆绝缘剩余使用寿命

Bingxiu Guo, Xiaohui Wang, Yanyan Wang, Haoyun Su, Sijian Chao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

橡胶广泛应用于航空、航天等重要领域。监测橡胶的性能并预测其剩余寿命是保证及时维修和更换的关键,关系到设备的安全可靠性。传统的寿命计算方法受到环境和机理研究的限制。数据驱动更简洁、高效,能表征多种因素对橡胶寿命的耦合效应。支持向量机(SVM)是一种数据驱动的求解小样本非线性问题的方法,具有很好的鲁棒性。本文将支持向量回归(SVR)算法应用于橡胶寿命预测。以某型聚合丁苯橡胶电缆绝缘为例,以温度和油雾浓度为特征预测其剩余寿命。采用加速老化试验数据对模型进行训练,并根据断裂伸长率计算其剩余寿命。通过与实际试验结果和线性回归模型预测结果的比较,讨论了该方法的适用性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of Support Vector Regression to predict the Remaining useful life of Polymerized Styrene Butadiene Rubber of cable insulation
Rubber is widely used in aviation, aerospace and other important fields. Monitoring properties of rubber and predicting its remaining life is the key to ensuring timely repair and replacement, and it is related to the safety and reliability of equipment. The traditional methods of life calculation is limited by the study of environment and mechanism. The data-driven is more concise and efficient and it can characterize the coupling effect of many factors for the life of rubber. Support Vector Machine (SVM) is a data-driven method for solving small sample and nonlinear problems with good robustness. In this paper the support vector regression(SVR) algorithm was applied to the prediction of rubber life. We used a certain type Polymerized Styrene Butadiene Rubber cable insulation as an example, the temperature and the concentration of oil mist were set as the features to predict the remaining life. The model was trained by accelerated aging test data, and its remaining life was calculated according to its break elongation retention rate at the end of life. Compared with the actual test results and the pridicted results of linear regression model, the applicability of the method was discussed.
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