基于神经网络的洪水预报:LSTM网络在摩苏尔地区的应用。伊拉克

A. Ibrahim, Ayad Khalaf Jirri Halboosh
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引用次数: 1

摘要

-洪水是最危险的自然灾害之一,每年都会对生命和财产造成损害。因此,建立洪水模型来预测流域的浸没区对决策者来说是至关重要的。洪水是一场危险的悲剧,每年威胁着伊拉克和中东地区,影响着数百万人。在这种情况下,拥有合适的洪水预报算法可以通过提前警告社区潜在的严重洪水事件来减少财产损失和挽救生命,从而帮助人们。近年来,人工神经网络(ANN)等数据挖掘技术已被应用于洪水模型。本研究的目的是开发一个模型,利用现有的统计模型和循环神经网络,并以降雨预报数据为动力,将过去推断到未来。我们研究了一些时间序列预测方法,包括长短期记忆(LSTM)网络。利用伊拉克摩苏尔地区的降雨数据对所研究的预报方法进行了测试和实施。此外,在洪水发生和进行试验研究降雨与洪水的关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Flood Forecasting Using Neural Network: Applying The LSTM Network In The Mosul Region. Iraq
– Flooding is one of the most dangerous natural causes that inflict harm to both life and property on a yearly basis. Therefore, building a flood model for predicting the immersion zone in a watershed is critical for decision-makers. Floods are a perilous tragedy that annually threatens Iraq and the Middle East region, impacting millions of people. In this context, having suitable flood forecasting algorithms may help people by reducing property damage and saving lives by warning communities of potentially severe flooding events ahead of time. Data mining techniques such as artificial neural network (ANN) approaches have recently been applied to model floods. The purpose of this study is to develop a model that extrapolates the past into the future using existing statistical models and recurrent neural networks and is powered by rainfall forecasting data. We investigate a number of time series forecasting approaches, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks. The forecasting methods investigated are tested and implemented using rainfall data from the Mosul region of Iraq. In addition, in flood occurrences and conducting experiments to study the relationship between rainfall and floods.
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