基于WT-IGWO-ELM的短期交通流预测方法

Shuilin Li, Luyao Niu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

:准确预测短期交通流量,为智能交通系统的稳定运行提供重要的数据支持。针对这一问题,本文提出了一种基于WT-IGWO-ELM的短期交通流预测方法。该算法采用小波变换(Wavelet Transform, WT)方法对交通流数据进行预先去噪,提高了数据集的数据质量。然后,将基于正弦混沌映射的初始种群与反向学习策略相结合,采用非线性收敛因子调整和引入动态权值的IGWO算法,更有效地避免了局部最优性,加快了收敛速度,提高了求解精度。最后,利用改进的灰狼优化器(IGWO)对ELM预测模型的最优参数进行更新,通过对比实验验证了WT-IGWO-ELM模型预测的平均相对误差与ELM和WT相比,-ELM、GWO-ELM、WT-GWO-ELM和IGWO-ELM分别降低了96.6625%、95.5972%、87.9447%、79.5021%、72.0571%,其预测效果明显优于ELM、WT-ELM、GWO-ELM、WT-GWO-ELM和IGWO-ELM方法在短期交通流预测中具有较高的预测性能和精度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction Method Based on WT-IGWO-ELM
: Accurate prediction of short-term traffic flow provides crucial data support for the stable operation of intelligent transportation systems. For this issue, this paper proposes a short-term traffic flow prediction method based on WT-IGWO-ELM. The algorithm uses the Wavelet Transform (WT) method to denoise the traffic flow data in advance, which improves the data quality of the dataset. Then, the IGWO algorithm, which integrates the initial population based on Sine chaotic map and reverse learning strategy, the adjustment of nonlinear convergence factor and the introduction of dynamic weights, is used to avoid local optimality more effectively, speed up the convergence speed, and improve the solution accuracy. Finally, the improved grey wolf optimizer (IGWO) was used to update the optimal parameters of the ELM prediction model, and the average relative error of the prediction of the WT-IGWO-ELM model was verified by comparison experiments compared with those of ELM and WT. -ELM, GWO-ELM, WT-GWO-ELM and IGWO-ELM decreased by 96.6625%, 95.5972%, 87.9447%, 79.5021%, 72.0571%, respectively, and its prediction effect was much better than ELM, WT-ELM, GWO-ELM, WT-GWO-ELM and IGWO-ELM methods have high prediction performance and accuracy in short-term traffic flow prediction.
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