印尼房地产贷款发展分析

Anisa Nurpita, Rina Oktavia
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摘要

印度尼西亚的房地产行业在推动国民经济方面发挥着至关重要的作用。2019年4月,房地产行业的银行贷款发展没有出现显着增长和停滞。本研究分析了印度尼西亚房产贷款的增长趋势,并估计了影响印度尼西亚住房贷款(KPR)和公寓所有权贷款(KPA)数量的因素。本研究使用的数据为二次数据和时间序列。本研究使用的分析工具是趋势分析和回归分析。结果显示,从2020年到2025年,印尼房地产贷款增长仍将低迷。这种情况是由建筑贷款确定的,预计建筑贷款将增长,尽管增长幅度不是太大,房地产贷款仍在波动,这是因为2019年房地产贷款增长比前一年下降了近50%,尽管名义上KPR和KPA的数量增加,但KPA和KPR估计会下降。种群数量变量对印尼KPR和KPA的数量有显著的正向影响。人口越多,KPR和KPA的数量增加越多。同时,本研究中的经济增长和通货膨胀变量对KPR和KPA的数量没有显著影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Analysis of Property Loans Development in Indonesia
The property sector in Indonesia has an essential role in driving the national economy. The bank lending development to the property sector in April 2019 did not show significant growth and stagnant. This study analyzes the growth trend of property loans in Indonesia and estimates the factors that affect the number of housing loans (KPR) and apartment ownership loans (KPA) in Indonesia. The data used in this study are secondary data and time series. The analytical tools used in this research are trend and regression. The results showed that from 2020 to 2025, the property loan growth in Indonesia will still be sluggish. The condition is identified by construction loan which is expected to grow even though the increase is not too significant, real estate loan is still fluctuating, this is because in 2019 there was a decline in real estate loan growth of almost 50 percent from the previous year, and KPA and KPR are estimated to decline even though in nominal terms the number of KPR and KPA increases. The population number variable has a positive and significant effect on the number of KPR and KPA in Indonesia. The more the population, the more the number of KPR and KPA will increase. Meanwhile, the variables of economic growth and inflation in this study did not significantly affect the number of KPR and KPA.
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