建设小吨位综合液化天然气项目的财务经济论证

E. Khalikova, Liliya Usmanova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在现代经济条件下,对液化天然气需求的增加要求对生产液化天然气的技术方案进行工程设计,并对其进行财务和经济论证。这篇科学文章致力于建立一个小型天然气液化综合设施的金融和经济模型,评估项目的有效性,并分析项目风险。提出的财务经济模型的格式是基于对项目经营和投资活动的关键指标的计算,包括OPEX和CAPEX,以及反映净利润和净现金流的财务计划的形成。所提出的财务模型用于计算设计方案的绩效指标,并作为分析货币净收入影响风险因素的信息基础。本文考察了宏观经济驱动因素和平减指数——液化天然气价格、美元对卢布汇率——对天然气销售收入变化的影响,以及对关键项目指标形成的影响。本文的作者证实了在实践中应用财务和经济模型作为可行性研究的经济部分在项目文件中进一步使用的方便性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial and economic justification of the project for the construction of a small-tonnage complex liquefied natural gas
In modern economic conditions, the increased demand for liquefied natural gas necessitates the engineering design of technological solutions for the production of liquefied natural gas and its financial and economic justification. The scientific article is devoted to the development of a financial and economic model and the evaluation of the effectiveness of the project for the construction of a small-scale natural gas liquefaction complex and the analysis of project risks. The proposed format of the financial and economic model is based on the calculation of key indicators of the project's operating and investment activities, including OPEX and CAPEX, as well as on the formation of financial plans that reflect the net profit and net cash flow. The presented financial models are used in calculating the performance indicators of the design solution and are the information basis for the analisis influence risk factors for net monetary income. The article examined the impact of macroeconomic drivers and deflator indices — liquefied natural gas prices, the dollar exchange rate against the ruble on the change in income from gas sales and on the formation of key project indicators. The authors of the article substantiate the expediency of applying the financial and economic model in practice for further use in project documentation as an economic part of the feasibility study.
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