战略制定:战略竞争下的俄罗斯与北约关系

Luis Alexander Montero Moncada, Maria Paula Velandia García
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在本文中,我们研究了北约和俄罗斯在欧洲战略竞争中正在发展的要素。分析了这些因素后,现实主义国际关系理论所描述的每一个子系统都面临着当今世界政治的重大变化。从北欧到巴尔干半岛和黑海地区,分析的重点是可能对两个行动者之间的互动造成问题的紧张地区。此外,波罗的海地区由于其在混合或传统战争战术方面的持续活动而得到进一步解释。最后,我们将北约、欧盟和美国作为欧洲安全的主要参与者进行了比较,并分析了自唐纳德·特朗普上台以来,美国是如何发生巨大变化的。最后,我们分析了北约和俄罗斯在短期预测中的潜在风险、情景和冲突。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Strategy in the making: Russia-NATO Relations under Strategic Competition
In this article, we examine the elements that are being developed by NATO and Russia in a strategic competition in Europe. Having analysed these elements, each sub-system, as described by the Realist Theory of International Relations, is facing major changes in today’s world politics. From Northern Europe to the Balkans and the Black Sea region, the analysis focuses on areas of tension that could potentially become problematic for the interaction between the two actors. Besides, the Baltic region is explained further due to its continuous activity regarding either hybrid or tradition war tactics. Finally, we draw a parallel between NATO, the EU and the USA as main actors in European Security and how the latter has been changing drastically since Donald Trump took office. We conclude by analysing potential risks, scenarios and conflicts between NATO and Russia in short range projections.
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