{"title":"模糊随机自回归时间序列模型在高校招生预测中的应用","authors":"R. Efendi, N. Samsudin, N. Arbaiy, M. M. Deris","doi":"10.1109/ISCBI.2017.8053545","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The statistical models required the large data in the time series forecasting. While, to forecast the limited data or small data cannot be suggested by using these models. In this paper, we are interested to apply fuzzy random auto-regression model to handle the university enrollment data. The accuracy of the forecasting model can be improved through the left-right procedure. The yearly enrollment data of Alabama University are examined as benchmark data to evaluate the performance of proposed model. The results indicate that the smaller left-right spread of triangular fuzzy number produced the higher forecasting accuracy if compared with the existing models.","PeriodicalId":128441,"journal":{"name":"2017 5th International Symposium on Computational and Business Intelligence (ISCBI)","volume":"99 36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Fuzzy random auto-regression time series model in enrollment university forecasting\",\"authors\":\"R. Efendi, N. Samsudin, N. Arbaiy, M. M. Deris\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ISCBI.2017.8053545\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The statistical models required the large data in the time series forecasting. While, to forecast the limited data or small data cannot be suggested by using these models. In this paper, we are interested to apply fuzzy random auto-regression model to handle the university enrollment data. The accuracy of the forecasting model can be improved through the left-right procedure. The yearly enrollment data of Alabama University are examined as benchmark data to evaluate the performance of proposed model. The results indicate that the smaller left-right spread of triangular fuzzy number produced the higher forecasting accuracy if compared with the existing models.\",\"PeriodicalId\":128441,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2017 5th International Symposium on Computational and Business Intelligence (ISCBI)\",\"volume\":\"99 36 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-08-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2017 5th International Symposium on Computational and Business Intelligence (ISCBI)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ISCBI.2017.8053545\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2017 5th International Symposium on Computational and Business Intelligence (ISCBI)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ISCBI.2017.8053545","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Fuzzy random auto-regression time series model in enrollment university forecasting
The statistical models required the large data in the time series forecasting. While, to forecast the limited data or small data cannot be suggested by using these models. In this paper, we are interested to apply fuzzy random auto-regression model to handle the university enrollment data. The accuracy of the forecasting model can be improved through the left-right procedure. The yearly enrollment data of Alabama University are examined as benchmark data to evaluate the performance of proposed model. The results indicate that the smaller left-right spread of triangular fuzzy number produced the higher forecasting accuracy if compared with the existing models.