智能电网投资:实物期权方法

O. Ionescu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们选择了一个探索性的立场来分析智能电网项目的投资决策。我们表明,实物期权方法可能为决策问题提供新的见解。对智能电网技术部署的投资受到技术、经济和社会政治不确定性的阻碍。这些不确定性可能对投资决策产生重大影响。对这些不同的不确定因素的战略反应的分析,使我们有可能在考虑到当前的市场条件和随着时间的推移而到来的信息的情况下,确定和描述最佳选择。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investissement dans les « smart grids » : une approche par options réelles
In this article we have chosen an exploratory position to analyze the investment decisions in smart grids projects. We show that a real options approach may offer new insights for the decision problem. Investments in the deployment of smart grid technologies are hampered by technological, economic and socio-political uncertainties. These uncertain-ties can have a significant impact on investment decisions. The analysis of the strategic responses to these various uncertainties makes it possible to determine and characterize the optimal choice while taking into account the current market conditions and the arrival of information over time.
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