基于改进灰色BP模型的中长期电力负荷预测

Xiaoxia Li, Prijun Zhang
{"title":"基于改进灰色BP模型的中长期电力负荷预测","authors":"Xiaoxia Li, Prijun Zhang","doi":"10.1109/ETCS.2009.343","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The power load forecasting precision being influenced by many factors, the traditional forecasting tools are not very taking the role. In fact, BP network has the characteristics of the applicable and self-learning, and grey method has the growth characteristics,this paper used the correcting coefficient to improved the grey method, so the grey BP network method can better reflect the increasing and non-linearity character than traditional grey BP method. The minimal variance method was used as the making of combination weight, through the advantages of the two methods, we can meet the high precision for the forecasting, and the whole forecasting results have greatly improved to conventional methods, above all, this method can be better using in medium and long term power load forecasting.","PeriodicalId":422513,"journal":{"name":"2009 First International Workshop on Education Technology and Computer Science","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2009-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Medium-Long Power Load Forecasting Based on Improved Grey BP Model\",\"authors\":\"Xiaoxia Li, Prijun Zhang\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ETCS.2009.343\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The power load forecasting precision being influenced by many factors, the traditional forecasting tools are not very taking the role. In fact, BP network has the characteristics of the applicable and self-learning, and grey method has the growth characteristics,this paper used the correcting coefficient to improved the grey method, so the grey BP network method can better reflect the increasing and non-linearity character than traditional grey BP method. The minimal variance method was used as the making of combination weight, through the advantages of the two methods, we can meet the high precision for the forecasting, and the whole forecasting results have greatly improved to conventional methods, above all, this method can be better using in medium and long term power load forecasting.\",\"PeriodicalId\":422513,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2009 First International Workshop on Education Technology and Computer Science\",\"volume\":\"12 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2009-03-07\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2009 First International Workshop on Education Technology and Computer Science\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ETCS.2009.343\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2009 First International Workshop on Education Technology and Computer Science","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ETCS.2009.343","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4

摘要

电力负荷预测精度受多种因素的影响,传统的预测工具不能很好地发挥作用。事实上,BP网络具有适用性和自学习性的特点,而灰色方法具有成长性,本文利用修正系数对灰色方法进行改进,使得灰色BP网络方法比传统的灰色BP方法更能反映出递增性和非线性特性。采用最小方差法作为组合权值的制定,通过两种方法的优点,既能满足预测精度要求,又能使整体预测结果较常规方法有较大的提高,尤其在中长期电力负荷预测中具有较好的应用前景。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Medium-Long Power Load Forecasting Based on Improved Grey BP Model
The power load forecasting precision being influenced by many factors, the traditional forecasting tools are not very taking the role. In fact, BP network has the characteristics of the applicable and self-learning, and grey method has the growth characteristics,this paper used the correcting coefficient to improved the grey method, so the grey BP network method can better reflect the increasing and non-linearity character than traditional grey BP method. The minimal variance method was used as the making of combination weight, through the advantages of the two methods, we can meet the high precision for the forecasting, and the whole forecasting results have greatly improved to conventional methods, above all, this method can be better using in medium and long term power load forecasting.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信