西班牙债券市场的金融创新与套利

A. Balbás, S. López
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文对西班牙债券市场的序贯套利水平进行了实证检验。该测试是通过利用西班牙政府发行的无违约和无期权纯贴现和息票债券来实施的。这一事实似乎是本文与相关实证文献之间的明显区别,因为我们的分析中没有涉及风险债券或衍生证券。因此,序贯套利的缺失正好相当于存在与西班牙银行提供的整套债券价格相匹配的利率期限结构。因此,主要结论似乎是可靠的,因为它们只依赖于非常一般和简单的假设,特别是不需要动态假设。实证分析的结果可能对交易者和研究人员有用,因为它似乎揭示了序贯套利的存在。此外,套利机会的数量在1998年显著增加,当时实施了重要的创新,在其他新的可能性中,经纪人开始单独交易每只债券及其息票(条)。与金融创新相关的经验不足可能导致市场出现混乱。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial Innovation and Arbitrage in the Spanish Bond Market
This paper empirically tests the level of sequential arbitrage in the Spanish bond market. The test is implemented by drawing on default free and option free pure discount and coupon bonds issued by the Spanish government. This fact seems to be a clear distinction between this paper and the related empirical literature since there are no risky bonds or derivative securities involved in our analysis. As a consequence, the sequential arbitrage absence is just equivalent to the existence of a term structure of interest rates matching the whole set of bond prices as provided by The Bank of Spain. Thus, the main conclusions seem to be robust because they only depend on very general and simple hypotheses and, particularly, no dynamic assumptions are required. The results of the empirical analysis may be useful to traders and researchers since it seems to reveal the existence of sequential arbitrage. Furthermore, the number of arbitrage opportunities significantly increased in 1998, when important innovations were implemented and, amongst other new possibilities, agents began trading each whole bond and its coupons (strips) separately. The inexperience associated with financial innovations may lead to ine¢ciencies in the market.
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