泰国制造业的错配:趋势、模式及其决定因素

Tawanrat Khochasirisuwan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的主要目的是衡量1997年至2017年泰国制造业的产业错配水平,以期制定审慎的政策来促进生产率的提高。本文采用了[1]中提出的错配度量方法。在我们的平衡面板数据计量经济学分析中,进一步使用了过去二十年的错配估计,以确定其关键决定因素。主要发现表明,在过去20年里,大多数行业的错配都有所减少。尽管如此,不同行业的变化幅度各不相同。面板数据计量分析表明,错配的变化与出口产出和进口渗透率呈显著负相关。在有许多公司出口和/或进口的行业中,错配率往往较低。有趣的是,跨国企业的作用可以降低错配,但发生在更自由的贸易环境。因此,主要的政策推论是赞成进一步的贸易自由化,以鼓励公司进行全球一体化并吸引跨国企业。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Misallocation in Thai Manufacturing: Trends, Patterns and Its Determinants
The main purpose of this paper is to measure the level of misallocation of industries in Thai manufacturing from 1997 to 2017 with a view to formulate prudential policy to promote productivity improvement. A measurement of misallocation proposed in [1] is used. Estimates of misallocation over the past two decades are further used in our balanced panel-data econometric analysis to identify its key determinants. The key findings suggest that most of industries experienced a decrease in misallocation over the past two decades. Nonetheless, the magnitude of changes varies across industries. The paneldata econometric analysis suggests that the changes of misallocation is negatively and significantly related to export output and import penetration ratios. Misallocation in industries in which a number of firms are export and/or import tends to be lower. Interestingly, the role of multinational enterprises can lower misallocation but taking place in more liberal trade environment. The main policy inference, therefore, is in favor of further trade liberalization to encourage firms to globally integrated and entice multinational enterprises.
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