全球变暖条件下乌克兰的心血管疾病

Вісник соціальної гігієни та організації охорони здоров'я України Pub Date : 2023-06-09 DOI:10.11603/1681-2786.2023.1.13859

ЗДОРОВ’Я І Суспільство, ©. S. N. Vadzyuk, V. O. Huk, S. Vadzyuk, V. O. Huk

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摘要

Рurpose:建立乌克兰心血管疾病与年平均气温升高之间的关系。材料和Мethods。对乌克兰国家统计局1990年至2013年心血管疾病病例数的数据以及1990年、2000年和2013年各地区城乡人口比例的数据进行了分析。从2014年开始的统计数据没有使用，因为它们不在乌克兰临时占领的领土上。年平均气温是从全球数据库-全球历史气候学网络获得的。在关于乌克兰自然环境状况的国家报告的帮助下，评估了乌克兰各地区的大气空气污染情况。利用相关和回归分析对所得结果进行统计处理，以确定近似的可靠性。结果。建立了1990年至2013年乌克兰年平均气温与新登记的心血管疾病病例数之间的直接平均相关性(相关系数+0.5)。在对乌克兰各地区进行分析后，确定在循环系统新发现疾病数量与年平均气温(第聂伯罗彼得罗夫斯克、扎波罗热日亚、卢甘斯克、哈尔科夫、顿涅茨克、克里米亚自治共和国、基辅、苏梅、赫尔松、敖德萨、米科莱耶夫、基罗沃赫拉德、利沃夫、日托米尔地区)之间存在直接强烈和中等相关性的地区，城市人口占多数，空气污染指数较高。在乌克兰的其他地区，农村人口占主导地位，建立了一条弱直线，以及负相关依赖关系和较低的大气空气污染水平。结论。近几十年来，环境的年平均温度一直在上升，这对人类健康产生了负面影响，特别是对心血管系统造成了损害。因此，重要的是现在就开始行动，以避免全球变暖的负面后果。

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CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES IN UKRAINE UNDER CONDITIONS OF GLOBAL WARMING

Рurpose: to establish the relationship between cardiovascular diseases in Ukraine and an increase in the average annual temperature. Materials and Мethods. The data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine on the number of cases of cardiovascular diseases from 1990 to 2013, as well as on the share of the urban and rural population in various regions for 1990, 2000 and 2013 were analyzed. Statistical data starting from 2014 were not used due to their absence from the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine. Average annual temperatures were obtained from the global database – The Global Historical Climatology Network. With the help of the National reports on the state of the natural environment in Ukraine, atmospheric air pollution in the regions of Ukraine was assessed. Statistical processing of the obtained results was carried out using correlation and regression analysis with determination of the reliability of the approximation. Results. A direct average correlation between average annual temperatures and the number of newly registered cases of cardiovascular diseases in Ukraine between 1990 and 2013 was established (correlation coefficient +0.5). After carrying out an analysis between the regions of Ukraine, it was established that in the regions with direct strong and medium correlations between the number of newly detected diseases of the circulatory system and average annual air temperatures (Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhya, Luhansk, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Kyiv, Sumy, Kherson, Odesa, Mykolaiv, Kirovohrad, Lviv, Zhytomyr regions) the urban population prevails, as well as a higher air pollution index. In other regions of Ukraine, where the rural population predominates, a weak straight line is established, as well as inverse correlation dependences and a lower level of atmospheric air pollution. Conclusions. In recent decades, the average annual temperature of the environment has been increasing, which has a negative effect on human health, in particular on the cardiovascular system, causing its damage. Therefore, it is important to start acting now to avoid the negative consequences of global warming.

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Вісник соціальної гігієни та організації охорони здоров'я України

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