基于区间数据分析的在线股票价格预测

Yan Cheng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人均收入的不断提高使得更多的居民选择股票作为一种新的投资方式,因此如何更准确地判断其价格走势变得越来越重要。在大多数传统的时间序列分析中,从概率的角度出发,以收盘价为基础建立模型。本文将区间数据引入到股票价格预测任务中,提出了一种基于注意机制的长短期记忆模型。具体来说,借用序列到序列(seq2seq)模型的思想,LSTM首先用作编码器对输入序列进行编码。然后利用注意机制,根据编码后的特征,捕捉当前输出中最有用的信息。最后,使用另一个LSTM模型作为解码器,对编码后的数据特征进行解码,得到预测结果。实验结果表明,该模型显著提高了预测精度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Online Stock Price Prediction Based on Interval Data Analysis
The continuous increase in per capita income makes more residents choose stocks as a new investment method, so how to more accurately judge their price trends has become increasingly important. In most traditional time series analyses, models are built on basis of closing price, from the perspective of probability. This paper introduces the interval data into the stock price prediction task and proposes an attention mechanism-based long short-term memory (LSTM) model. Specifically, borrowing the idea from the sequence-to-sequence (seq2seq) model, the LSTM is first used as an encoder to encode the input sequence. Then the attention mechanism is used to capture the most useful information for the current output based on the encoded features. Finally, another LSTM model is used as a decoder to decode the encoded data features and obtain the prediction results. Experimental results show that the proposed model significantly improves the prediction accuracy.
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