气候变化

W. van Eekelen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

第64-65行:您如何解释与气候变化的热力学效应相关的slp的大规模变化,这些变化可能不会影响环流(因为对于环流来说,重要的是水平梯度),但会影响欧几里得距离?请注意,IPCC第四次评估报告的第10章对气候变化导致的温带气旋强度增加有一个强有力的陈述,主要基于Lambert和Fyfe(2006)的单一研究;人们随后认识到,将最小潮差作为温带气旋强度的度量是错误的,因为它受到大规模潮差变化的混杂影响,AR5不得不收回这一说法。你如何让读者相信你不容易出现同样的问题?这可能会特别影响持久性度量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate change
Lines 64-65: How do you account for the large-scale changes in slp associated with the thermodynamic effects of climate change, which presumably don’t affect the circulation (since for circulation it is the horizontal gradients that matter), but would affect the Euclidean distances? Note that Chapter 10 of the IPCC AR4 report had a strong statement about increases in the strength of extratropical cyclones from climate change, largely based on the single study of Lambert & Fyfe (2006); it was subsequently recognized that taking minimum slp as a metric for extratropical cyclone intensity was fallacious as it was subject to the confounding influence of large-scale slp changes, and the AR5 had to row back on this statement. How can you convince the reader that you are not prone to the same problem? This might particularly affect the persistence metric.
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