{"title":"气候变化","authors":"W. van Eekelen","doi":"10.4324/9781351272001-10","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Lines 64-65: How do you account for the large-scale changes in slp associated with the thermodynamic effects of climate change, which presumably don’t affect the circulation (since for circulation it is the horizontal gradients that matter), but would affect the Euclidean distances? Note that Chapter 10 of the IPCC AR4 report had a strong statement about increases in the strength of extratropical cyclones from climate change, largely based on the single study of Lambert & Fyfe (2006); it was subsequently recognized that taking minimum slp as a metric for extratropical cyclone intensity was fallacious as it was subject to the confounding influence of large-scale slp changes, and the AR5 had to row back on this statement. How can you convince the reader that you are not prone to the same problem? This might particularly affect the persistence metric.","PeriodicalId":161641,"journal":{"name":"Rural Development in Practice","volume":"118 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Climate change\",\"authors\":\"W. van Eekelen\",\"doi\":\"10.4324/9781351272001-10\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Lines 64-65: How do you account for the large-scale changes in slp associated with the thermodynamic effects of climate change, which presumably don’t affect the circulation (since for circulation it is the horizontal gradients that matter), but would affect the Euclidean distances? Note that Chapter 10 of the IPCC AR4 report had a strong statement about increases in the strength of extratropical cyclones from climate change, largely based on the single study of Lambert & Fyfe (2006); it was subsequently recognized that taking minimum slp as a metric for extratropical cyclone intensity was fallacious as it was subject to the confounding influence of large-scale slp changes, and the AR5 had to row back on this statement. How can you convince the reader that you are not prone to the same problem? This might particularly affect the persistence metric.\",\"PeriodicalId\":161641,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Rural Development in Practice\",\"volume\":\"118 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-05-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Rural Development in Practice\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.4324/9781351272001-10\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Rural Development in Practice","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.4324/9781351272001-10","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Lines 64-65: How do you account for the large-scale changes in slp associated with the thermodynamic effects of climate change, which presumably don’t affect the circulation (since for circulation it is the horizontal gradients that matter), but would affect the Euclidean distances? Note that Chapter 10 of the IPCC AR4 report had a strong statement about increases in the strength of extratropical cyclones from climate change, largely based on the single study of Lambert & Fyfe (2006); it was subsequently recognized that taking minimum slp as a metric for extratropical cyclone intensity was fallacious as it was subject to the confounding influence of large-scale slp changes, and the AR5 had to row back on this statement. How can you convince the reader that you are not prone to the same problem? This might particularly affect the persistence metric.