中国县域城市建设用地规模与人口规模协同发展测度研究

Xueru Zhang, Zewei Liu
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The results of the study show that: ①Both the number of population and the area of land for construction in counties in China show a trend of first increasing and then slightly decreasing, reaching a peak in 2014 and then slowly decreasing; ②In the process of rapid urbanization, the urbanization rate of county units in China is much smaller than the national average urbanization rate, and the urbanization level of counties is less than half of the national urbanization level. Therefore, the main force driving China’s urbanization process comes from the development of large and medium-sized cities, rather than county units. 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摘要

为了定量刻画中国县域城市建设用地规模与人口规模协同发展的程度,本文采用弹性系数模型和偏差系数模型对其时序变化特征进行测度。基于《中国城乡建设统计年鉴》2006 - 2016年数据的中国各省县域单位人口规模与建设用地规模空间分异及协同发展程度研究结果表明:①中国县域人口数量和建设用地面积均呈现先增加后略有减少的趋势,在2014年达到峰值后缓慢下降;②在快速城市化进程中,中国县域单位城镇化率远低于全国平均城镇化率,县域单位城镇化水平不到全国城市化水平的一半。因此,推动中国城市化进程的主要力量来自大中城市的发展,而不是县级单位。人口向大中城市转移的趋势大于向县域城市转移的趋势;③基于弹性系数模型得出:除河南、山西和青海外,全国其他省份均存在县域城镇建设用地规模与人口规模不协调的情况;不协调类型为A型人地不成比例增长(建设用地面积规模和人口规模增速均为正,且前者增速大于后者);④根据偏差系数模型,得出中国县域建设用地规模与人口增长不协调的结论。中国有18个省份处于高度不和谐状态,占64个。总数的29%。它们的协调度的平均偏差系数为2。32,远高于平均偏差系数1。中国有5个。相关研究成果可为实现县域城市可持续健康发展,优化县域单元结构,提高县域单元资源利用效率提供理论参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on the Synergistic Development Measurement of Construction Land Scale and Population Scale in Urban Areas of Counties in China
In order to quantitatively portray the degree of synergistic development of construction land scale and population scale in county urban areas in China, this paper uses elasticity coefficient model and deviation coefficient model to measure the sequential change characteristics, spatial divergence differences and the degree of synergistic development of population scale and construction land scale of county units in each province in China based on the data of China Urban and Rural Construction Statistical Yearbook from 2006 to 2016. The results of the study show that: ①Both the number of population and the area of land for construction in counties in China show a trend of first increasing and then slightly decreasing, reaching a peak in 2014 and then slowly decreasing; ②In the process of rapid urbanization, the urbanization rate of county units in China is much smaller than the national average urbanization rate, and the urbanization level of counties is less than half of the national urbanization level. Therefore, the main force driving China’s urbanization process comes from the development of large and medium-sized cities, rather than county units. Besides, population transfer is more inclined to large and medium-sized cities than to county cities; ③ Based on the elasticity coefficient model, it is concluded that except Henan, Shanxi and Qinghai provinces, the other provinces in China are in a situation where the scale of construction land in county urban areas is not coordinated with the scale of population, and the type of incoordination is of the type of A disproportionate growth of people and land (the growth rate of the scale of construction land area and the scale of population are both positive and the growth rate of the former is greater than that of the latter); ④According to the deviation coefficient model, it is concluded that the scale of construction land scale and population growth in county units in China are not coordinated. Eighteen provinces in China are in a state of high dissonance, accounting for 64. 29% of the total. The average deviation coefficient for their degree of coordination is 2. 32, much higher than the average coefficient of deviation of 1. 5 in China. The relevant research results can provide theoretical reference for realizing the sustainable and healthy development of county cities, optimizing the structure of county units and improving utilization efficiency of county unit resources.
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