基于DAIGA-LSTM神经网络的换热站短期热负荷预测

Qingwu Fan, Guanghuang Chen, Shuo Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

换热站是集中供热系统的重要组成部分。在实际供热系统运行控制中,基于历史运行数据的换热站短期热负荷预测具有重要作用。本文首先基于长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络,建立了换热站短期热负荷预测模型。其次,针对传统LSTM神经网络参数调整困难的问题,提出了一种动态辅助个体遗传算法(DAIGA)。然后,利用遗传算法对预测模型的主要超参数进行优化,使模型的预测性能更加准确和稳定。最后,通过与多种典型热负荷预测模型的对比实验,提出的DAIGA-LSTM预测模型适用性强,预测性能好。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Short-term Heating Load Prediction of Heat Exchange Station Based on DAIGA-LSTM Neural Network
The heat exchange station is an essential part of the central heating system. In the actual heating system operation control, the short-term heating load prediction of the heat exchange station based on historical operation data plays an important role. In this paper, firstly, based on the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network, a short-term heating load prediction model of heat exchange station is established. Secondly, because of the difficulty of adjusting parameters of the traditional LSTM neural network, a Dynamic Auxiliary Individual Genetic Algorithm (DAIGA) was proposed. Then, the primary hyperparameters of the prediction model were optimized by the proposed genetic algorithm to make the prediction performance of the model more accurate and stable. Finally, through comparison experiments with a variety of typical heating load prediction models, the proposed DAIGA-LSTM prediction model has strong applicability and good prediction performance.
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