空间天气集合模拟的目视验证

A. Bock, A. Pembroke, M. L. Mays, L. Rastaetter, T. Ropinski, A. Ynnerman
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引用次数: 27

摘要

我们提出了一个系统来分析和背景模拟日冕物质抛射。由于目前的模拟技术需要人工输入,不确定性被引入到模拟管道中,导致不准确的预测,可以通过集成模拟来缓解。我们为空间气象分析师提供了一个多视图系统,提供以下可视化:比较集合成员与地面真值测量,2。检查从卫星图像的光流分析中得到的时间相关信息;将卫星图像与模拟的体绘制相结合。这个三层工作流程为专家提供了发现预测误差和模拟参数之间相关性的工具,从而增加了对日冕物质抛射的演化和传播的了解,日冕物质抛射对地球和行星际旅行构成了危险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Visual verification of space weather ensemble simulations
We propose a system to analyze and contextualize simulations of coronal mass ejections. As current simulation techniques require manual input, uncertainty is introduced into the simulation pipeline leading to inaccurate predictions that can be mitigated through ensemble simulations. We provide the space weather analyst with a multi-view system providing visualizations to: 1. compare ensemble members against ground truth measurements, 2. inspect time-dependent information derived from optical flow analysis of satellite images, and 3. combine satellite images with a volumetric rendering of the simulations. This three-tier workflow provides experts with tools to discover correlations between errors in predictions and simulation parameters, thus increasing knowledge about the evolution and propagation of coronal mass ejections that pose a danger to Earth and interplanetary travel.
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