2019冠状病毒病大流行期间货币和财政的互补性

J. Chadha, L. Corrado, Jack Meaning, Tobias Schuler
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引用次数: 7

摘要

为应对冠状病毒(Covid-19)大流行,美国采取了一种补充性的货币和财政政策,联邦储备系统(Federal Reserve System)购买了大量证券,政府的赤字约占预计GDP的17%。美联储(fed)将贴现率推至接近于零的水平,并通过一项新的开放式长期资产购买计划提供紧急流动性,稳定了金融市场。为了捕捉干预措施,我们开发了一个模型,在这个模型中,央行使用储备购买大量发行的政府债券,这抵消了实体经济停摆和封锁的影响。我们表明,这些行动降低了贷款成本,放大了支持性财政政策的影响。然后,我们进行了一项反事实分析,该分析表明,如果美联储没有进行如此程度的干预,经济可能会因Covid-19大流行而经历更严重的收缩。JEL分类:E31, E40, E51
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Monetary and Fiscal Complementarity in the Covid-19 Pandemic
In response to the coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic, there has been a complementary approach to monetary and fiscal policy in the United States with the Federal Reserve System purchasing extraordinary quantities of securities and the government running a deficit of some 17% of projected GDP. The Federal Reserve pushed the discount rate close to zero and stabilised financial markets with emergency liquidity provided through a new open-ended long-term asset purchase programme. To capture the interventions, we develop a model in which the central bank uses reserves to buy much of the huge issuance of government bonds and this offsets the impact of shutdowns and lockdowns in the real economy. We show that these actions reduced lending costs and amplified the impact of supportive fiscal policies. We then run a counterfactual analysis which suggests that if the Federal Reserve had not intervened to such a degree, the economy may have experienced a significantly deeper contraction as a result from the Covid-19 pandemic. JEL Classification: E31, E40, E51
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