重庆近年雷电灾害脆弱性区划及各因素间灰色关联分析与探讨

L. Fang, Qin Binquan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用平均雷击电流强度、雷击天数、地闪密度、灾害频次、GDP损失模量和寿命脆弱模量6个因子对重庆地区雷电易损性进行区域划分。利用重庆市ADTD闪电定位系统2007 - 2010年的数据和重庆市闪电灾害数据库1999 - 2008年的雷电灾害统计数据,将重庆市40个县分为低、中、高、极端易损区。通过单因素方差分析验证该划分。应用灰色关联理论,以生命脆弱模量为重点,对6个因素的相对相关性进行评价。结果表明,经济损失模数对重庆市雷击灾害的生命脆弱因子影响最大。研究结果为重庆地区防灾减灾提供了科学依据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis and exploration for vulnerability regionalization and grey relevancy between factors of lightning disaster in recent year in Chongqing
The regional division of lightening vulnerability for Chongqing area was carried out using six factors including average lightning current strength, lightning day, ground flash density, disaster frequency, GDP loss modulus and life vulnerable modulus. The analysis was based on the data provided by ADTD lightning location system in Chongqing from 2007 to 2010, and lightening disaster statistics of the Lightening Disaster Database in Chongqing from 1999 to 2008The forty counties of Chongqing was grouped into low, mid, high, and extreme vulnerability regions. The division was validated by one way ANOVA analysis. Grey correlation theory was applied to assess the relative correlation of the six factors with a focus on life vulnerable modulus. The most influential factor to the life vulnerable factor of lightning disaster in Chongqing was found to be the economic loss modulus. The results provide a scientific basis for preventing and reducing lightening disasters in Chongqing area.
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